I currently see 12 spots locked up. 7 AQ's locked up, 1 to be determined. AQ's are Northern Iowa, Montana, McNeese St, Wofford, Delaware St, E. Kentucky and Fordham.

At large locked up so far: UMass, Richmond, Appalachian, Southern Illinois, Delaware. One of these mentioned CAA teams with clinch the Colonial AQ. Delaware is in even with a loss this week, 7 D1 wins but win over Navy gets them in.

4 Spots remaining.

Locks if these teams win next week:

JMU-record would be 8-3, there in.
Hofstra-record would be 8-3, beat UMass, there in.
Georgia Southern-8-3 with win over Colorado State, there in. If they don't win, there out even as a 7-4 team with only 6 D1 wins.
Eastern Washington-record 8-3

Remaining teams with a chance if above 4 falter:

Colgate-playing Holy Cross. Win = 8-3.
Eastern Illinois-playing Samford. Win = 8-3.
New Hampshire-win =7-4 with win over Marshall. Possible
JMU- with loss=7-4
Villanova-win=7-4, just beat Delaware, played UMass to 4 OT's. Lost to Mayland by only 14.
Citadel-win=7-4. Played Wisconsin tough, tough SoCon schedule.
Montana State-win =7-4. Beat Griz, possible.
Some of the above 7-4 teams above (if they win)will be and are currently ranked higher than Eastern Illinois or Colgate at 8-3(if they win).

Teams with a million to one shot. GPI rankings are all roughly between 30-60. Have not verified number of D-1 wins.
Current Records:
Hampton-6-4
Albany-7-3
S.C. State-6-4
Nicholls St.-6-4
Cal Poly-6-4
San Diego-9-1.
Norfolk St-7-3
Holy Cross- 6-4

Notes:

Youngstown and Elon are out as they are 7-4, but only have 6 d-1 wins.
N.D. State out, ineligible.
Yale is out, Ivy league.
Grambling out, Bayou classic.


I think there may be a 7-4 team in the playoffs this year. Does the committe take a 7-4 CAA team over a possible 8-3 Colgate or Eastern Illinois club?

What do you guys think?. I think they do. However, many scenarios to be played out this week b-4 that can happen.

Good luck to all teams this week.