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    Re: SoCon 2021 Predictions and Power Rankings - Week 8

    Quote Originally Posted by Mocs123 View Post
    It was a really windy day in Chattanooga and neither team passed very much. At one point in the 3rd QTR I realized that both teams combined had 157 yards passing. ETSU had to pass late in the game down two scores and no timeouts, much of that was against a semi "prevent" type defense. The fact that they almost had to pass let our linemen pin their ears back and go after the QB - hence the 5 sacks by Maxwell (a school record).

    I really thought the Mocs and Bucs were teams built with a similar mold - Good offensive lines, two great running backs each, and solid defense. I thought we were pretty evenly matched offensively and ETSU had the upper hand with special teams, but our defense is what made the difference in the game.

    I'd be interested to hear your thoughts if you watch the replay.
    It was a BIG day & night @ FU honoring Coach Sheridan for his induction into the College Football Hall of Fame…and a night game (perhaps you could hear the whining about that emanating from Charleston, SC)…so FUBeAR watched no other SoCon games…and because of so many former Teammates being at FU, barely watched that game. So…gotta lotta ball to watch in the next few nights.

    Anyway - here are the stats I saw that informed my SWAG / hypothesis that Playcalling would be / was the difference in this game…

    ETS PASSING C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT
    Riddell,Tyler 17/29 182 10.7 1 1
    TOTALS 17/29 182 10.7 1 1
    ETS RUSHING CAR YDS AVG TD LG
    Saylors,Jacob 13 121 9.3 1 54
    Holmes,Quay 16 65 4.1 0 19
    Riddell,Tyler 8 -26 -3.3 0 8
    TOTALS (RB’s only) 29 186 6.4 1 54

    So…figure QB’s 8 rushes were gonna be attempted passes and I surmise ETSU wanted to throw the ball 37 times…and wanted to give it to their 2 great RB’s 29 times. Wanted to pass 56% of the time. Eso es no bueno por el Bucco’s! 37 x 6.4 = 237. 237-182 = 55 yards = 5 more 1st downs = ~6 minutes additional ToP = 3 fewer turnovers. I.e. every pass play ETSU called put one more nail in their coffin toward defeat.


    …AND…

    UTC PASSING C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT
    Copeland,Cole 8/14 82 10.3 0 1
    TOTALS 8/14 82 10.3 0 1
    UTC RUSHING CAR YDS AVG TD LG
    Price,Tyrell 14 102 7.3 2 58
    Ford,Ailym 14 95 6.8 1 49
    Copeland,Cole 5 18 3.6 0 12
    Appleberry,Gino 2 17 8.5 0 12
    TOTALS (RB’s only) 30 214 7.1 3 58
    Using same SWAG method….Mocs wanted to pass 19 times & give it to 1 of their 3 excellent RB’s 30 times. 39% wanting to pass. Still too high for the Mocs in FUBeAR’s opinion, but a far sight better than 56%.

    Pretty sure FUBeAR said before the game that the Team that passes/wants to pass the fewer number of times will win this game. I guess Coach Sanders’ case of Passing Envy is more pronounced than Coaches Wright’s/Pizzo’s is.


    BTW - LOVE your Power Rankings. Don’t think FUBeAR’s have ever been exactly the same as another poster’s. Guess I’ll need to go re-think mine now. Oops…just noticed you have Woffy above WCU, so all good. Uniqueness remains intact.
    Last edited by FUBeAR; October 18th, 2021 at 01:36 PM.
    “Every single statistical category - we win!” - Coach Brent Thompson, Head Football Coach, A Citadel 10/16/21 (following a double-digit loss to Furman).


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