Interesting matchup in Albany this weekend. Here's how they stack up statistically:
The numbers obviously favor CCSU but they've played a Charmin soft schedule with their toughest FCS game to date, according to the Massey ratings, against #70 Columbia. Is CCSU's defense as good as they've looked or is it a product of the teams they've played? That +17 turnover margin is an impressive number in any case and, even if Albany is the better team, if CCSU can be +2 or better in turnovers they stand a great chance to win.
5dimes currently has Albany as a 6.5 point favorite, Massey predicts a 35-31 final in favor of Albany, and Sagarin favors Albany by about 3 at home.
I think CCSU has been conditioned to win this year and they'll be mentally tough because of it. I like them to pull the upset in a close one where their defense seals the win. Who do you have winning and why?
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