I'm bored trying to finish out a slow holiday work week so figured I'd get these last few game threads started.

Here's how the numbers break down for these two:



It's kind of hard to figure out how SEMO is 9-3 looking at their numbers and they have needed a few comebacks late in the year to get there. Illinois St is hurting on offense after the loss of QB Brady Davis. Their defense is stout but if their offense can't score points all it takes is one slip up and they're behind the 8 ball. 5dimes has Illinois St as a 2.5 point road favorite. Massey predicts a 20-18 Illinois St win and Sagarin has them as basically a pick 'em factoring in homefield advantage for SEMO.

I think it's a low scoring game where the home team is able to score just enough to win. SEMO by a FG. Who do you have winning and why?