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Thread: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

  1. #1
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    Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    I used the 100 game head-to-head matchup option to determine the 2016 CAA Football race. (Slow night with most of my family away)

    There was a 3-way tie at the top as the 3 Virginia teams managed 7-1 Conference records. Each team went 1-1 against the others.

    James Madison 9-2 (7-1)
    Richmond 9-2 (7-1)
    William & Mary 9-2 (7-1)
    Villanova 8-3 (6-2)
    Towson 6-5 (5-3)
    UNH 6-5 (5-3)
    Delaware 5-6 (3-5)
    Stony Brook 5-6 (3-5)
    Albany 4-7 (2-6)
    Elon 3-8 (1-7)
    Maine 2-9 (1-7)
    Rhode Island 0-11 (0-8)

    Playoff teams (4):
    James Madison
    Richmond
    William & Mary
    Villanova

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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    Delaware at 5-6 sounds optimistic.
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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    Quote Originally Posted by superman7515 View Post
    Delaware at 5-6 sounds optimistic.
    Delaware
    Delaware State 38-10 W
    @Lafayette 23-10 W
    @Wake Forest 10-31 L
    @JMU 21-33 L
    Maine 21-14 W
    @William & Mary 17-27 L
    Stony Brook 17-13 W
    Towson 17-20 L
    @Albany 21-17 W
    @Richmond 20-31 L
    Villanova 17-21 L

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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    Quote Originally Posted by Gangtackle11 View Post
    Delaware
    Delaware State 38-10 W
    @Lafayette 23-10 W
    @Wake Forest 10-31 L
    @JMU 21-33 L
    Maine 21-14 W
    @William & Mary 17-27 L
    Stony Brook 17-13 W
    Towson 17-20 L
    @Albany 21-17 W
    @Richmond 20-31 L
    Villanova 17-21 L
    I see both the Maine and Stony Brook win's as potential stumbling blocks that could jeopardize the 5-6 prediction, but generally agree with the rest of the assessment. At least, the results, not necessarily the scores.
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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    Quote Originally Posted by Gangtackle11 View Post
    I used the 100 game head-to-head matchup option to determine the 2016 CAA Football race. (Slow night with most of my family away)

    There was a 3-way tie at the top as the 3 Virginia teams managed 7-1 Conference records. Each team went 1-1 against the others.

    James Madison 9-2 (7-1)
    Richmond 9-2 (7-1)
    William & Mary 9-2 (7-1)
    Villanova 8-3 (6-2)
    Towson 6-5 (5-3)
    UNH 6-5 (5-3)
    Delaware 5-6 (3-5)
    Stony Brook 5-6 (3-5)
    Albany 4-7 (2-6)
    Elon 3-8 (1-7)
    Maine 2-9 (1-7)
    Rhode Island 0-11 (0-8)

    Playoff teams (4):
    James Madison
    Richmond
    William & Mary
    Villanova
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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA


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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    Sadly 5-6 is about right for UD. The good news is it will force a coaching change & put UD back on the map.
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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    Seems to be by the book. There will be a wrench thrown in somewhere. With this schedule, UNH would have to really stink to be 6-5 IMO
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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    Quote Originally Posted by UNHFan@RWU View Post
    Seems to be by the book. There will be a wrench thrown in somewhere. With this schedule, UNH would have to really stink to be 6-5 IMO
    Well to a degree it is because I used the 100 game simulation. When you simulate just 1 game the chance for "upsets" are greater.

    Here is how UNH simmed:

    @San Diego St. 13-38 L
    Holy Cross 31-22 W
    @Dartmouth 21-25 L
    Rhode Island 28-16 W
    W&M 21-27 L
    @Elon 27-17 W
    JMU 28-37 L
    @Towson 21-27 L
    Stony Brook 21-16 W
    Albany 28-20 W
    @Maine 24-21 W
    Last edited by Gangtackle11; July 7th, 2016 at 10:31 AM.

  10. #10
    Top FCS Ruler ccd494's Avatar
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    Re: Simulation predicts the 2016 CAA

    There is NO WAY Maine goes 2-9. Zero.

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