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View Full Version : 2021 AGS PLAYOFF PICK'EM CONTEST (Round 2)



MTfan4life
November 28th, 2021, 09:32 PM
We ended up with 61 total participants for round one! Ten people went 7 out of 8, but there was a lot of score separation in the scoring margin game. Having a couple games end with 7, 10, & 24 victory margins really helped that happen. There are plenty of points still left, so even if you finished dead last, it's not out of the question to come back. Remember there are only three weeks to submit picks, so please keep participating each week if you have done so previously. This makes scoring all the easier.

Here is the link for the Round 2 picks: https://forms.gle/T6t3K93VupdRFrGF6

***ONE THING TO REMEMBER!! THERE ARE TWO FRIDAY NIGHT GAMES, SO DON'T WAIT UNTIL FRI NIGHT/SAT MORNING TO SUBMIT.***

Here's the link for the standings: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mL4tp1IJEqwnJ9pAT8h3CblclO7o51eC-Iqe9KqCyEg/edit?usp=sharing

It should be good to view, now. I had forgotten to turn on the sharing setting before, so I think it appeared as private.

POD Knows
November 29th, 2021, 09:36 AM
In.

NDSUKurt
November 29th, 2021, 10:43 AM
In.

wapiti
November 29th, 2021, 11:16 AM
In

crusader11
November 29th, 2021, 11:35 AM
In.

Daytripper
November 29th, 2021, 11:35 AM
In. I went bold on some of my picks in order to catch up.

Preferred Walk-On
November 29th, 2021, 12:09 PM
I'm in.

NY Crusader 2010
November 29th, 2021, 12:18 PM
In. I went bold on some of my picks in order to catch up.

Holy Cross thanks you for your support :)

Carolina010
November 29th, 2021, 02:20 PM
In

ncspiderfan
November 29th, 2021, 02:49 PM
In

KPSUL
November 29th, 2021, 08:39 PM
In. I went bold on some of my picks in order to catch up.

My strategy too. (it rarely works)

Picks Submitted

McNeese75
November 29th, 2021, 09:03 PM
In- desperation picks

TheValleyRaider
November 30th, 2021, 01:59 PM
In for Round 2. Let's do this!

PantherRob82
November 30th, 2021, 08:34 PM
In

caribbeanhen
December 1st, 2021, 06:13 AM
in

Roamingriz
December 1st, 2021, 01:36 PM
In

ElCid
December 1st, 2021, 01:55 PM
In

MSUBobcat
December 1st, 2021, 02:20 PM
In.

Professor Chaos
December 1st, 2021, 02:32 PM
My picks are in

Go Lehigh TU owl
December 2nd, 2021, 07:21 PM
In!

OhioHen
December 3rd, 2021, 06:34 AM
We ended up with 61 total participants for round one! Ten people went 7 out of 8, but there was a lot of score separation in the scoring margin game. Having a couple games end with 7, 10, & 24 victory margins really helped that happen. There are plenty of points still left, so even if you finished dead last, it's not out of the question to come back. Remember there are only three weeks to submit picks, so please keep participating each week if you have done so previously. This makes scoring all the easier.

Here is the link for the Round 2 picks: https://forms.gle/T6t3K93VupdRFrGF6

***ONE THING TO REMEMBER!! THERE ARE TWO FRIDAY NIGHT GAMES, SO DON'T WAIT UNTIL FRI NIGHT/SAT MORNING TO SUBMIT.***

Here's the link for the standings: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mL4tp1IJEqwnJ9pAT8h3CblclO7o51eC-Iqe9KqCyEg/edit?usp=sharing

It should be good to view, now. I had forgotten to turn on the sharing setting before, so I think it appeared as private.
Went in and looked at the sheet. Couple questions/comments because I looked at your formulae after noticing an anomaly:
1) Why was the SIU-USD game (column AF) a baseline of 12.5 for correct and the UTM-MoState (column AB) baseline 20 when all the others start at 10 points? (If it's because of the limited number of correct picks then question/comment 2&3 become real headscratchers)
2) In the Round 2 table, column Z is pre-set to 17.5 baseline and column AF to 15 while all others are at 10.
3) In the Quarters Table, column Z is set to 25 whereas the other QF columns are at 20. It is clear that the later columns are higher because they are for semis and the final.

Hambone
December 3rd, 2021, 07:39 AM
In

RabidRabbit
December 3rd, 2021, 08:06 AM
In.

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

MTfan4life
December 3rd, 2021, 09:27 AM
Just a reminder, there are games tonight! So make sure to get your picks in before that!

MTfan4life
December 3rd, 2021, 09:42 AM
Went in and looked at the sheet. Couple questions/comments because I looked at your formulae after noticing an anomaly:
1) Why was the SIU-USD game (column AF) a baseline of 12.5 for correct and the UTM-MoState (column AB) baseline 20 when all the others start at 10 points? (If it's because of the limited number of correct picks then question/comment 2&3 become real headscratchers)
2) In the Round 2 table, column Z is pre-set to 17.5 baseline and column AF to 15 while all others are at 10.
3) In the Quarters Table, column Z is set to 25 whereas the other QF columns are at 20. It is clear that the later columns are higher because they are for semis and the final.

Here is the explanation of the scoring (I believe I bump up future base points to 20 in the quarters, 30 in the semis, and 40 in the final):


Scoring:
10 points for every correct pick.
Bonus structure:
If less than 1/2 correctly picked game, 2.5 extra points.
If less than 1/3, 5 extra
Less than 1/5, 7.5 extra
Less than 1/10, 10 extra

Deduction structure.
Your score will be deducted by 0.1 for each 1 point your score is off from the predicted margin of victory. That's only if you predict the correct winner. Any incorrect prediction will be worth 0 points.

I apologize if this doesn't make sense. I waited until the very last minute to think this up, haha.



You will be rewarded for picking upsets. (Or at least having correctly picked a game less than 50% picked.) Of course, sometimes there are no upsets. (See the 2nd round in 2018.)

For future rounds, as you mentioned. Those baseline scores only appear that way because I just copied the spreadsheet from 2019, rather than making a new one. So I will update those formulae once the games happen. I believe only 2 or 3 people correctly picked UT Martin, so that's why that game was worth 20. Then less than half picked SIU, so that was given a base of 12.5.

MR. CHICKEN
December 3rd, 2021, 09:48 AM
32332

....KEEP AN EYE...ON 'EM....OHIO........AWK!

atthewbon
December 3rd, 2021, 12:35 PM
In

MR. CHICKEN
December 3rd, 2021, 02:23 PM
IN

MTfan4life
December 5th, 2021, 02:38 AM
Chalk galore in round two. Every Massey betting favorite won. Because of that, 15 entries selected all 8 games correctly. As someone who picked Kennesaw State, I was especially mad at that end result! haha Here are the results for week 2:



Catbooster
74


Massey
73.3


OhioHen
73.2


NY Crusader 2010
73.2


Wapiti
72.7


MSUBobcat
72.2


Professor Chaos
72.2


KPSUL
71.3


Chalupa Batman
70.9


ElCid
70.7


SDSUCEEGRAD
70.5


Preferred Walk-On
70.3


taper
69.4


JacksFan40
69.4


atthewbon
69.1


PantherRob82
63.4


Swaghook
63.2


Carolina010
62.8


HensRock
62.7


caribbeanhen
62.3


Gangtackle11
61.9


putter
61.9


TheKingpin28
61.8


YSUBIGRED
61.8


Fcsbuff319
61.7


Drblankstare
61.6


TheValleyRaider
61.5


RabidRabbit
61


crusader11
61


grizband
60.8


Prime Power
60.5


NDSUKurt
59


CockyGeek
58.6


Katfan
58.3


Go Lehigh TU owl
56.7


McNeese75
55.5


ming01
53.9


Libertine
53.8


Roamingriz
53.1


mvemjsunpx
52.8


paward
52.6


footballer23
52.2


bonarae
52


MR. CHICKEN
51.6


Hambone
51.5


MTfan4life
51.3


POD Knows
51.1


ncspiderfan
51


Kat90
49.6


KsawOwls
44.3


Daytripper
43


Billnonymous
34.6


Puddin Tane
25.1



Then here are the full standings:



1
OhioHen
139.6


2
taper
138.5


3
Chalupa Batman
138


4
Preferred Walk-On
130.5


5
Prime Power
130.1


6
SDSUCEEGRAD
130


7
TheValleyRaider
129.3


8
Massey
128.1


9
atthewbon
127.1


10
crusader11
126.5


11
ElCid
126.2


12
MSUBobcat
125.4


13
ncspiderfan
124.1


14
TheKingpin28
122.6


15
caribbeanhen
121.8


16
PantherRob82
121.6


17
Swaghook
120.1


18
Wapiti
119.2


19
paward
119.1


20
KPSUL
118.9


21
CockyGeek
118.8


22
POD Knows
117.9


23
Carolina010
117.8


24
HensRock
117.8


25
Hambone
117.6


26
Professor Chaos
117.6


27
Gangtackle11
117.3


28
putter
117.1


29
Catbooster
116.2


30
Go Lehigh TU owl
115.4


31
JacksFan40
114.9


32
NY Crusader 2010
114.8


33
Roamingriz
112.5


34
KsawOwls
111.9


35
McNeese75
109.1


36
mvemjsunpx
109


37
YSUBIGRED
108.7


38
Drblankstare
106.7


39
grizband
106.3


40
Katfan
105.2


41
NDSUKurt
104.7


42
Daytripper
99.7


43
MR. CHICKEN
97.5


44
bonarae
94.9


45
Libertine
93.8


46
Kat90
93.5


47
footballer23
92.4


48
Fcsbuff319
91.5


49
MTfan4life
89.1


50
ming01
88.5


51
Puddin Tane
80.2


52
Billnonymous
72.9


53
ngineer
65.9


54
RabidRabbit
61


55
Bisonator
60.8


56
katss07
58.3


57
Hammerhead
57.6


58
Kalm
55.8


59
HewyBizon13
55.7


60
The Cats
44


61
MSUWineGuy
43.2


62
mvfcfan
27.3



OhioHen has taken over the full standings, but with all the chalk, the race is still anyone's game!

mvemjsunpx
December 5th, 2021, 08:09 AM
Every betting favorite won.

Really? Last I checked, Kennesaw was the favorite over ETSU.

caribbeanhen
December 5th, 2021, 10:59 AM
OhioHen is dominating all over the place

ysubigred
December 5th, 2021, 11:35 AM
OhioHen is dominating all over the placeSeems the ole.. caribbeanhen has lost the luster.. [emoji848] might have to take OhioHen to Vegas..

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

caribbeanhen
December 5th, 2021, 01:47 PM
Seems the ole.. caribbeanhen has lost the luster.. [emoji848] might have to take OhioHen to Vegas..

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

not just yet amigo Penguino

but OhioHen in first place in both games is pretty incredible

AGS Playoff Bracket Challenge - After 2nd Round, Fall 2021
With two rounds in the books, we have a new leader. OhioHen has taken an overall lead, with both caribbeanhen and ElCid just 1 pt behind.

Catbooster
December 5th, 2021, 06:58 PM
I needed that big 2nd round after my crappy first round (and I'm still just in the middle of the pack with that). xsmhx