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View Full Version : Most likely win and loss??



clawman
November 26th, 2018, 07:43 AM
Most likely winner - DUH!! #1 NDSU
but which game could most likely be an upset according to Massey?
https://www.masseyratings.com/cf/11605/games?dt=20181127

JSUSoutherner
November 26th, 2018, 09:32 AM
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20181126/7ffa5c4bf4363992cebea05c8e4bcd5e.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20181126/8aad16e8ec77a86aedb5b1ddf9ee7a7c.jpg

Sent from my Galaxy S9+ using Tapatalk

POD Knows
November 26th, 2018, 09:33 AM
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20181126/7ffa5c4bf4363992cebea05c8e4bcd5e.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20181126/8aad16e8ec77a86aedb5b1ddf9ee7a7c.jpg

Sent from my Galaxy S9+ using TapatalkI will take MSU with 50 to 1 odds. Anybody?

GreatDayToBeAnEagle
November 26th, 2018, 09:58 AM
I like Massey.... but if EWU scores less than 40 I'll eat my hat.

Bison56
November 26th, 2018, 11:48 AM
I like Massey.... but if EWU scores less than 40 I'll eat my hat.

I will expect to see this on video.

JSUSoutherner
November 26th, 2018, 11:52 AM
I will expect to see this on video.

+1

Reign of Terrier
November 26th, 2018, 11:54 AM
I feel like every game except the NDSU one should not have a certainty above 65% either which way.

MSUBobcat
November 26th, 2018, 12:31 PM
I will take MSU with 50 to 1 odds. Anybody?

No.

MTfan4life
November 26th, 2018, 12:41 PM
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20181126/7ffa5c4bf4363992cebea05c8e4bcd5e.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20181126/8aad16e8ec77a86aedb5b1ddf9ee7a7c.jpg

Sent from my Galaxy S9+ using Tapatalk

To be fair, Duquesne had just a 5% chance to beat Towson according to Massey.

JSUSoutherner
November 26th, 2018, 12:47 PM
To be fair, Duquesne had just a 5% chance to beat Towson according to Massey.So their fate is sealed.

NDSU gonna get rekt.

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Catbooster
November 27th, 2018, 10:42 AM
So their fate is sealed.

NDSU gonna get rekt.

Sent from my Galaxy S9+ using Tapatalk
Whew! That's good to hear. I wasn't real confident about this game. xthumbsupx

MSUBobcat
November 27th, 2018, 11:06 AM
So their fate is sealed.

NDSU gonna get rekt.

Sent from my Galaxy S9+ using Tapatalk

So if Duquesne had a 2.5x better chance to win than MSU does this week and won by 21, MSU wins by 8.4?? Or do you multiply by the LongShot Factor, making us 52.5 point favorites? How does that predictor work?

JSUSoutherner
November 27th, 2018, 11:47 AM
So if Duquesne had a 2.5x better chance to win than MSU does this week and won by 21, MSU wins by 8.4?? Or do you multiply by the LongShot Factor, making us 52.5 point favorites? How does that predictor work?
I think you have to take the square root and multiply that by 69.

Catbooster
November 27th, 2018, 11:54 AM
I think you have to take the square root and multiply that by 69.
I think you dropped a decimal on the constant - the exact value is 6.93

Go...gate
November 27th, 2018, 07:49 PM
JMU picked over Colgate by 16-14.

Derby City Duke
November 28th, 2018, 02:38 PM
JMU picked over Colgate by 16-14.

No way JMU wins if Houston actually is taking the Charlotte gig -- even if he is coaching the Dukes this weekend.

Go Lehigh TU owl
November 28th, 2018, 02:42 PM
No way JMU wins if Houston actually is taking the Charlotte gig -- even if he is coaching the Dukes this weekend.

Depends on the culture within the program and team. If it's strong then the Dukes might be able to claw out a win if they are in fact "superior" team. However if the team lacks leadership and the AD can't get it right then the Dukes will fold like a cheap tent.

This happens all the time during playoff time and bowl seasons. It's always interesting to see each school/program handle it. For some schools, like JMU, the AD and administration should have been prepared for this given Houston's history.

Bearkats94
November 28th, 2018, 07:50 PM
I remember when rumor was floating around that Fritiz was leaving for GS. It totally killed the team. Still not saying we wouldn't have gotten blown out by NDSU.

Just seen Nicholls has a 11% chance of winning at EW. 38-21 I do feel the game will be closer than some think.

MR. CHICKEN
November 29th, 2018, 06:59 AM
No way JMU wins if Houston actually is taking the Charlotte gig -- even if he is coaching the Dukes this weekend.

........https://www.richmond.com/sports/college/schools/james-madison/report-jmu-s-mike-houston-to-take-charlotte-job-houston/article_4f754743-a330-5451-8ec6-973fd30c31b8.html

Derby City Duke
November 29th, 2018, 09:34 AM
........https://www.richmond.com/sports/college/schools/james-madison/report-jmu-s-mike-houston-to-take-charlotte-job-houston/article_4f754743-a330-5451-8ec6-973fd30c31b8.html

Yeah I read that last night and listened to his short 1-on-1 with reporters after practice. I think the drama over the 'will he' or 'won't he' coach will take a mental toll on the players, causing a lack of focus on Saturday. Heck, it may happen anyway, even if he is coaching...

Of course, I've been wrong before -- just ask Mrs. DCD...xnodx

kalm
November 29th, 2018, 09:50 AM
I remember when rumor was floating around that Fritiz was leaving for GS. It totally killed the team. Still not saying we wouldn't have gotten blown out by NDSU.

Just seen Nicholls has a 11% chance of winning at EW. 38-21 I do feel the game will be closer than some think.

Agreed.

GreatDayToBeAnEagle
December 3rd, 2018, 10:24 AM
I like Massey.... but if EWU scores less than 40 I'll eat my hat.

Close call xcoolx

Bison56
December 3rd, 2018, 11:10 AM
Close call xcoolx

Was really looking forward to seeing that.:(