RedFlash
November 17th, 2015, 08:58 AM
Current NEC standings:
School
Conf
Overall
Pct.
Streak
Home
Away
vs. D-1 Opponents
Duquesne
4-1
7-3
0.700
W3
4-0
3-3
5-3
Saint Francis U
4-1
6-3
0.667
W3
4-0
2-3
6-3
Bryant
3-2
5-5
0.500
L1
3-1
2-4
4-5
Central Connecticut
3-3
4-7
0.364
L2
3-3
1-4
3-7
Sacred Heart
2-3
5-5
0.500
W1
2-2
3-3
4-5
Robert Morris
1-4
3-7
0.300
L1
2-3
1-4
2-7
Wagner
1-4
1-9
0.100
W1
1-4
0-5
1-9
Bryant (-15) at Robert Morris
Wagner at Sacred Heart (-14)
St. Francis at Duquesne (-1) Updated 11/18 - line dropped from -1.5
Adding point spreads this week from http://www.sportbet.com/lines/football_college_extra
I could see Bryant having a letdown after last week, but after watching RMU really struggle to throw the ball last week, I'll go with Bryant. Sacred Heart finishes on an upswing with 2 straight wins and a +.500 record for the year.
In the NEC Championship Game, I’m trying to let my brain dictate this pick versus my heart. SFU actually holds the advantage in most of the offensive and defensive statistical categories as well as FG % in their Conference games this year.
Duquesne
SFU
27.2 ppg
Scoring
26.6 ppg
17.2 ppg
Scoring Defense
13.4 ppg
393 ypg
Total Offense
431 ypg
321 ypg
Total Defense
268 ypg
16-19 (84%)
Red Zone Offense
21-23 (91.3%)
10-14 (71.4%)
Red Zone Defense
5-11 (45.5%)
8-11
Field Goals
16-16
30:09
Time of Possession
34:41
Where they fall short to the Dukes is in their special teams return/coverage and turnover margin – which can change a game (see - SFU at Bryant 10-24-15.)
Duquesne
SFU
1.8/game
Turnover Margin
.2/game
18.4 ypr
Kickoff Returns
14.0 ypr
6.1 ypr
Punt Returns
5.5 ypr
32.6 net
Punting
27.9 net
The Dukes have road losses to Albany (-3), Dayton (-11) and Bryant (-21). They're coming off a rare week 11 bye giving them extra time to prepare for SFU. SFU has road losses to Towson (-15), YSU (-45) and Bryant (-2). Both teams have won three in a row and five of their last six. One more thing to add. SFU is the more penalized team, averaging almost 8 penalties per game for 76.5 yards per game. Duquesne is averaging 6.2 penalties per game for 56.8 ypg.
In the end, I think this will be a very close game, which generally favors the home team.
School
Conf
Overall
Pct.
Streak
Home
Away
vs. D-1 Opponents
Duquesne
4-1
7-3
0.700
W3
4-0
3-3
5-3
Saint Francis U
4-1
6-3
0.667
W3
4-0
2-3
6-3
Bryant
3-2
5-5
0.500
L1
3-1
2-4
4-5
Central Connecticut
3-3
4-7
0.364
L2
3-3
1-4
3-7
Sacred Heart
2-3
5-5
0.500
W1
2-2
3-3
4-5
Robert Morris
1-4
3-7
0.300
L1
2-3
1-4
2-7
Wagner
1-4
1-9
0.100
W1
1-4
0-5
1-9
Bryant (-15) at Robert Morris
Wagner at Sacred Heart (-14)
St. Francis at Duquesne (-1) Updated 11/18 - line dropped from -1.5
Adding point spreads this week from http://www.sportbet.com/lines/football_college_extra
I could see Bryant having a letdown after last week, but after watching RMU really struggle to throw the ball last week, I'll go with Bryant. Sacred Heart finishes on an upswing with 2 straight wins and a +.500 record for the year.
In the NEC Championship Game, I’m trying to let my brain dictate this pick versus my heart. SFU actually holds the advantage in most of the offensive and defensive statistical categories as well as FG % in their Conference games this year.
Duquesne
SFU
27.2 ppg
Scoring
26.6 ppg
17.2 ppg
Scoring Defense
13.4 ppg
393 ypg
Total Offense
431 ypg
321 ypg
Total Defense
268 ypg
16-19 (84%)
Red Zone Offense
21-23 (91.3%)
10-14 (71.4%)
Red Zone Defense
5-11 (45.5%)
8-11
Field Goals
16-16
30:09
Time of Possession
34:41
Where they fall short to the Dukes is in their special teams return/coverage and turnover margin – which can change a game (see - SFU at Bryant 10-24-15.)
Duquesne
SFU
1.8/game
Turnover Margin
.2/game
18.4 ypr
Kickoff Returns
14.0 ypr
6.1 ypr
Punt Returns
5.5 ypr
32.6 net
Punting
27.9 net
The Dukes have road losses to Albany (-3), Dayton (-11) and Bryant (-21). They're coming off a rare week 11 bye giving them extra time to prepare for SFU. SFU has road losses to Towson (-15), YSU (-45) and Bryant (-2). Both teams have won three in a row and five of their last six. One more thing to add. SFU is the more penalized team, averaging almost 8 penalties per game for 76.5 yards per game. Duquesne is averaging 6.2 penalties per game for 56.8 ypg.
In the end, I think this will be a very close game, which generally favors the home team.