CAA Week 4 Pick-em

[KPSUL]

Thurs. Sep 24
PENN @ #7 Villanova 7pm

Sat. Sept 26
Delaware @ North Carolina 12:30 pm CSN
Towson @ Elon 3:00 pm
Duquesne @ Albany 3:00 pm TWC SC
Rhode Island @ Maine 3:30 pm ASN
CCSU @ New Hampshire 6:00 pm
#8 James Madison @ SMU 7:00 pm ESPN3
#22 Stony Brook @ #19 William & Mary 7:30 pm CSN-MA,PHL.CA,CHI SNY

I don't mean to steal Melloware13's Thread, but it's Wednesday, NOVA plays Thursday evening and I hadn't seen a week 4 Pick-em yet.

[Gangtackle11]

Thursday 9/24
Penn @ #7 Villanova - 'Cats are dealing with the loss of their leader to injury. Penn has to deal with the 11 healthy bodies on a talented defense. Cats rally around inexperienced, but talented QB Zach Bednarczyk Villanova 35 Penn 7

Saturday 9/26
Delaware @ North Carolina - Blue Hens showed well on the Main Line, but Chapel Hill will be too much to over come. UNC 45 Delaware 17

Towson @ Elon - Towson has the Marcus Jones-Drew clone CAA version in Darius Victor. Towson 21 Elon 10

Duquesne @ Albany -Albany HC Greg Gattuso cut his teeth at Duquesne and built them into a consistent winner. I don't think he showed them all his tricks. Albany 31 Duquesne 21

CCSU @ New Hampshire - Wildcats will right the ship here against a young Blue Devil team. New Hampshire 42 CCSU 20

#8 James Madison @ SMU - Love to see the Dukes get a FBS scalp here. SMU 41 JMU 31

Rhode Island @ Maine -battle of winless teams. Maine has played 2 FBS programs and hung for awhile. Rhody outscored 133-17 in their 3 losses. Maine 35 Rhode Island 7

#22 Stony Brook @ #19 William & Mary - CAA game of the week. Just a hunch that the Sea Wolves are for real and Bedell establishes himself as best back this side of Darius Victor in CAA Stony Brook 24 W&M 17

Last Week: 8-1 Season: 26-3

[UIWWildthing]

Thurs. Sep 24
PENN @ #7 Villanova 7pm

Sat. Sept 26
Delaware @ North Carolina 12:30 pm CSN
Towson @ Elon 3:00 pm
Duquesne @ Albany 3:00 pm TWC SC
Rhode Island @ Maine 3:30 pm ASN
CCSU @ New Hampshire 6:00 pm
#8 James Madison @ SMU 7:00 pm ESPN3
#22 Stony Brook @ #19 William & Mary 7:30 pm CSN-MA,PHL.CA,CHI SNY

[UNH72Plus]

Nova
North Carolina
Towson by a lot
Albany in a close one
Maine at home in another close one
UNH there's a lot of pent up emotion here
SMU but JMU may put a scare into them
Stony Brook after watching them demolish UNH last week and then get dissed in the polls, look out Bill & Mary!!

[ccd494]

I can't imagine Maine scoring 35 points on ANYONE.

[Ivytalk]

Thurs. Sep 24
PENN @ #7 Villanova 7pm

Sat. Sept 26
Delaware @ North Carolina 12:30 pm CSN
Towson @ Elon 3:00 pm
Duquesne @ Albany 3:00 pm TWC SC
Rhode Island @ Maine 3:30 pm ASN
CCSU @ New Hampshire 6:00 pm
#8 James Madison @ SMU 7:00 pm ESPN3
#22 Stony Brook @ #19 William & Mary 7:30 pm CSN-MA,PHL.CA,CHI SNY
I agree with these picks. I think the Tribe will survive at home.

[KPSUL]

Penn 3 @ Villanova 31 Mismatch with or without a Payton Award winning QB
Delaware 10 @ North Carolina 42 Typical P5 win over an FCS team
Towson 24 @ Elon 27 I’m convinced Elon will win 1 CAA game at home. I’m picking this one
Duquesne 35 @ Albany 27 Albany’s bench looked like a MASH unit against JMU.
Rhode Island 7 @ Maine 20
CCSU 7 @ New Hampshire 22 UNH’s still relies on its D to win
James Madison 31 @ SMU 52 SMU vs TCU in reverse
Stony Brook 18 @ W&M 24 SB goes 1-1 next two weeks on the road. Close loss at Zable this Sat., Close win at Bridgeforth next.

[Tiger93]

Villanova 31, Penn 7 - Good opponent for Villanova to play after Robertson's injury. I still think they roll in this one.

North Carolina 38, Delaware 14 - North Carolina has Georgia Tech the next week so I imagine they will be looking toward that game and maybe even starting to work on stopping the triple-option. This would have been a perfect team for the team to play the week before back in the Tubby Raymond days.

Towson 24, Elon 21 - As a Towson fan, I have a bad feeling about this game. I know Elon lost to NC A&T at home and is not very good, but I still think the Tigers struggle in this one.

Albany 28, Duquesne 21 - I feel pretty good picking Albany against most opponents at home this year.

New Hampshire 38, CCSU 17 - It feels like New Hampshire might finally be due its down year where they don't make the playoffs. If they were playing a better team on the road I might be worried.

SMU 38, JMU 27 - James Madison will score points in this game, I just don't think they will stop SMU.

Maine 31, Rhode Island 7 - I like Maine big in this home game.

William & Mary 17, Stony Brook 14 - I think Stony Brook has a good chance to make the playoffs and I think they will be tough to beat all year. However, I think William & Mary squeezes this one out at home.

[BigHouseClosedEnd]

Nova
UNC
Towson
Albany
UNH
JMU
Maine
WM

[bonarae]

Villanova
UNC
Towson
Albany
UNH
JMU
Maine
W&M - close one

[kdinva]

Penn 13 @ Villanova 31
Delaware 18 @ North Carolina 38
Towson 35 @ Elon 27
Duquesne 33 @ Albany 31
Rhode Island 7 @ Maine 28
CCSU 13 @ New Hampshire 26
James Madison 28 @ SMU 38
Stony Brook 23 @ W&M 33

[ZableNoise]

Penn @ Villanova - Even without Robertson the Wildcats are a solid team. Especially on defense.
Delaware @ North Carolina - I truly can't see this one being close.
Towson @ Elon - I'm just going to keep picking against Elon until they prove otherwise.
Duquesne @ Albany - Albany fares better against this week's Dukes than last week's Dukes.
Rhode Island @ Maine - See Elon.
CCSU @ New Hampshire - UNH isn't looking great this year but they're home to an NEC team so they should win.
James Madison @ SMU - This isn't a knock on JMU. SMU looks much better this season than they have recently.
Stony Brook @ William & Mary - A chance for the ACTUAL best back in the CAA (Abdul-Saboor) to showcase his talent.

[Sitting Bull]

Villanova 42 Penn 7
North Carolina 55 Delaware 10
Towson 20 Elon 18
UAlbany 31 Duquesne 16
Maine 21 Rhode Island 10
UNH 32 Central CT 14
SMU 45 JMU 27
Tribe 28 SBU 16

[Mattymc727]

Nova
UNC
Towson
Albany
UNH
SMU
Maine
Stony Brook

[GoBlueHens83]

PENN @ Villanova
Delaware @ North Carolina
Towson @ Elon
Duquesne @ Albany
Rhode Island @ Maine
CCSU @ New Hampshire
James Madison @ SMU
Stony Brook @ William & Mary

[bluehenbillk]

Nova 34 Penn 7
UNC 52 UD 9
Towson 21 Elon 17
Albany 31 DU 17
Maine 28 URI 14
UNH 23 CCSU 14
SMU 38 JMU 31
W&M 21 StB 20

[Catsfan90]

Nova
SMU
Bill and Mary
UNH
Maine
UNC
Albany

[RootinFerDukes]

Villanova
North Carolina
Towson
Albany
Maine
New Hampshire
Southern Methodist
William & Mary

[UNHWildcat18]

Villanova
UNC
Towson
Albany
UNH
SMU
Maine
SBU-(close one)

[melloware13]

Pennsylvania @ #7 Villanova - Bednarczyk seemed to be not too much of a step down from Robertson, but he could be back on the bench by halftime
Delaware @ North Carolina - I think it's better than the Hens last ACC match-up, but it's hard to be worse than 62-0
Towson @ Elon - Both teams seem improved, but Towson is ahead of Elon
Duquesne @ Albany - Upset pick #1, just a hunch
Rhode Island @ Maine - Both teams should be hungry for a win, but Rhody seems to need luck at home to pick up a win
Central Connecticut @ New Hampshire - UNH looked bad last week, but it'd take a real fall for them to lose this one
#8 James Madison @ Southern Methodist - Upset pick #2 (in name only), Mustangs seem to have a pulse but Dukes are hot
#22 Stony Brook @ #19 William & Mary - Seawolves continue their run

Also, feel free to post the week's thread if I can't by like 5 ET on the Monday of the week.

[Go Lehigh TU owl]

Villanova 34 Penn 6 - Cats with a methodical beat down...
UNC 52 Delaware 24 - The Tar Heels roll....
Towson 30 Elon 14 - I really like this Tiger's team....
Duquesne 27 Albany 24 - I think the Dukes bounce back after a tough loss last week....
Maine 17 URI 14 - I'll take the Bears in a close one...
UNH 37 CCSU 20 - Blue Devils provide the perfect rebound...
SMU 48 JMU 37 - The Mustangs win in a what should be a relatively competitive game...
SBU 20 W&M 17 - I'll take the Seawolves in the CAA game of the week....

[HailSzczur]

UNC
Towson
Albany
Maine
UNH
SMU
WM

[BestDaneSinceHamlet]

North Carolina
Towson
Albany
Maine
New Hampshire
SMU
William and Mary
Villanova

[Dane96]

PENN @ #7 Villanova NOVA

Sat. Sept 26
Delaware @ North Carolina 12:30 pm CSN UNC
Towson @ Elon 3:00 pm TOWSON
Duquesne @ Albany 3:00 pm TWC SC ALBANY
Rhode Island @ Maine 3:30 pm ASN MAINE
CCSU @ New Hampshire 6:00 pm UNH
#8 James Madison @ SMU 7:00 pm ESPN3 JMU
#22 Stony Brook @ #19 William & Mary 7:30 pm CSN-MA,PHL.CA,CHI SNY W&M

[KPSUL]

UNC
Towson
Albany
Maine
UNH
SMU
WM

Why no PENN NOVA pick? Do you have clairvoyant powers? Divine Intervention?

[HailSzczur]

Why no PENN NOVA pick? Do you have clairvoyant powers? Divine Intervention?

Or carelessness doing it at work.....

[RootinFerDukes]

I'm shocked at how many people think JMU will beat SMU. I appreciate the love, but I just can't see it happening. Our defense probably won't stop SMU on any given drive.

[HailSzczur]

I'm shocked at how many people think JMU will beat SMU. I appreciate the love, but I just can't see it happening. Our defense probably won't stop SMU on any given drive.

I think everyone here knows they can. I'd say if they played 10 times, I'd take JMU to win about 3 of them. It's just a matter if they will on Saturday.

[WrenFGun]

I personally think the UNH/CCSU game will be a one score game into the fourth quarter, and then anything goes.

[Tribal]

Villanova (would've picked Nova)
Delaware 17 @ North Carolina 43
Towson 31 @ Elon 9
Duquesne 16 @ Albany 27
Rhode Island 7 @ Maine 28
CCSU 17 @ New Hampshire 24
James Madison 38 @ SMU 44
Stony Brook 24 @ W&M 27



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[Catsfan90]

Villanova (would've picked Nova)
Delaware 17 @ North Carolina 43
Towson 31 @ Elon 9
Duquesne 16 @ Albany 27
Rhode Island 7 @ Maine 28
CCSU 17 @ New Hampshire 24
James Madison 38 @ SMU 44
Stony Brook 24 @ W&M 27



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If captain hindsight has anything to say about this, Nova may not be the smartest pick :o

[Tribal]

If captain hindsight has anything to say about this, Nova may not be the smartest pick :o
I try to not cheat. I'm a good guy.

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[Catsfan90]

I try to not cheat. I'm a good guy.

Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk
Yah I know! I was watching south park last night and the Captain Hindsight episode was on, so I couldn't resist :)

[aceinthehole]

I personally think the UNH/CCSU game will be a one score game into the fourth quarter, and then anything goes.

I hoping it is that close - but I have no reason to believe that will be the case. I think CCSU is too young and doesn't have the talent or depth to keep up with UNH. UNH has been so dominant, in the CAA and in non-conference, its hard to tell how "down" they are this season. That being said, CCSU is 'up" for this game. We have a ton of respect for UNH Football - it is the 'model' that Central is trying to establish and follow for its program. A win this week would be bigger for our program than last season's upset at #7 Towson, who was coming off a National Semifinal appearance.


The Wildcats own the nation's longest streak of Top 25 appearances with 159 in a row, a stretch that dates back to Sept. 13, 2004,

New Hampshire has a 7-0 lifetime record against Central Connecticut State University and that includes three wins in the Coach Mac era. Saturday will be the sixth meeting between the programs at UNH's Cowell Stadium.

UNH plays its 2015 home opener this Saturday against CCSU. The Wildcats went 8-1 at Cowell Stadium, a.k.a The Dungeon, last season.

Since the start of the 2007 season, the Wildcats are 42-5 at Cowell Stadium.

New Hampshire had tremendous success at home against non-conference teams the past decade (2005-14) with 16 consecutive wins a 19-2 record.

The last time UNH lost a regular-season home game to a non-conference opponent was Nov. 11, 2000 (38-35 to Gardner-Webb). Since then, the 'Cats have won 18 consecutive regular-season home games against non-conference foes; that includes three victories against CCSU.

However, I have very little reason to think they can pull of the win based on their performance in the first 3 weeks. In the loss to Lehigh, they were awful on 3rd Down on both sides of the ball and we haven't improved.

We were totally dominated by SBU. However, I think we will see the Seawolves emerge as top-15 team (certainly top-10 defense), plusthe Wildcats also struggled mightily vs. SBU. Also, CCSU started our 2nd QB in two weeks - a true Frosh.

The win vs. Bowie State was needed to maintain any reason of hope and sanity for this year. But again in this game, we never dominated vs. a D-II opponent, and continued to struggle in 3rd down situations.

UNH is probably "down" this year and has some big injuries this week - but I think the gap in scholarships and talent is still enough to hold off a rebuilding CCSU team. This may be the season the UNH playoff streak ends, but they should still beat the Blue Devils by 2 or 3 scores (not the usual 4 or 5).

New Hampshire vs. Central Connecticut All-time Results:

Oct. 18, 1975 - UNH 28, CCSU 0 (Durham)
Oct. 16, 1976 - UNH 34, CCSU 21 (New Britain)
Oct. 15, 1977 - UNH 47, CCSU 7 (Durham)
Sep. 16, 1978 - UNH 36, CCSU 13 (New Britain)
Aug. 30, 2003 - UNH 70, CCSU 20 (Durham)
Sep. 4, 2010 - UNH 33, CCSU 3 (Durham)
Sep. 15, 2012 - UNH 43, CCSU 10 (Durham)

Prediction - UNH 27, 14

FYE - the betting line has UNH as 31-point favorites - I would definitely take CCSU and the points!

[whoanellie]

Elon does hang on to get their first win in CAA

[Tribal]

Tribe beat the Seawolves 21-0 and it wasn't that close.

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[Tribal]

JMU won. Great job by the Dukes and another nail in the coffin for a once proud SMU program.

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[tribefan40]

Interesting that almost everyone picked a tight game between SBU AND W&M. I probably would have done the same if I had my act together to make picks this week.

Pretty sure W&M just put the CAA on notice...as did JMU

[RootinFerDukes]

I'm happy to be wrong. I honestly didn't see us beating smu.
It looks like JMU and wm will be the top two CAA teams this year.

[Tribal]

I'm happy to be wrong. I honestly didn't see us beating smu.
It looks like JMU and wm will be the top two CAA teams this year.
Our schedule is murderous.

After JMU, SBU has a pretty favorable schedule and UNH's is probably the most favorable schedule in CAA history.

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[RootinFerDukes]

Unh always has a cakewalk of schedule. How do you think they get to 11 consecutive playoff appearances.

[KPSUL]

Unh always has a cakewalk of schedule. How do you think they get to 11 consecutive playoff appearances.
A solid system, , good coaching, player development. They don't try to do it by out spending the competition , betraying redshirts by bringing in FBS transfers or reaching for quick fixes.

[Catsfan90]

Unh always has a cakewalk of schedule. How do you think they get to 11 consecutive playoff appearances.
You do realize schedules rotate every year right? And when was the last time JMU beat UNH? What's your excuse for that?

[Mattymc727]

Unh always has a cakewalk of schedule. How do you think they get to 11 consecutive playoff appearances.

And I was just about to jump on the JMU bandwagon. Thanks to your idiotic comment I now hope JMU chokes per usual and farts around in the FCS forever as a mediocre team with an FBS stadium.

[KPSUL]

And I was just about to jump on the JMU bandwagon. Thanks to your idiotic comment I now hope JMU chokes per usual and farts around in the FCS forever as a mediocre team with an FBS stadium.

Half a FBS stadium.

[StrikeJMU]

And I was just about to jump on the JMU bandwagon. Thanks to your idiotic comment I now hope JMU chokes per usual and farts around in the FCS forever as a mediocre team with an FBS stadium.

Well there goes your free streamer! xsmiley_wix

[jmufan999]

And I was just about to jump on the JMU bandwagon. Thanks to your idiotic comment I now hope JMU chokes per usual and farts around in the FCS forever as a mediocre team with an FBS stadium.

please don't listen to him, he makes absolutely no sense in almost every thread. he doesn't speak for all of us.

[KPSUL]

please don't listen to him, he makes absolutely no sense in almost every thread. he doesn't speak for all of us.
I agree. Until Rootin started tootin JMU fans posting here were reasonable. Rootin started out ok, maybe the great season JMU has going so far has him a bit over-stimmed.

[RootinFerDukes]

Goodness, I'm just pulling your leg. Isn't that what message boards are for sometimes?
The rotating conference schedule doesn't mean much because they prioritize regional teams and the greater strength of the conference is in the south than the north. You get URI, Maine, Albany, Stony Brook each season. Northeastern and Hofstra in the past. UMass was the only other consistently tough northern team and they're now gone. We also had ODU in the south for two seasons. The presence of Elon helps to make up for you all having URI as a very easy team up north each season. Stony Brook is proving to be at least a middle of the pack CAA team so far, so that helps the north's strength moving forward.
Ps, we are going to fart around in FCS forever. That has been crystal clear since April 2012. Nothing is going to change until our current president hits the door.... or some miracle happens and something opens up in the MAC and they don't want Stony Brook more.

[RootinFerDukes]

I agree. Until Rootin started tootin JMU fans posting here were reasonable. Rootin started out ok, maybe the great season JMU has going so far has him a bit over-stimmed.
I apologize. I'll play nice moving forward. I've always wanted UNH to win a national title and was pulling for the wildcats last season.

[KPSUL]

I apologize. I'll play nice moving forward. I've always wanted UNH to win a national title and was pulling for the wildcats last season.
I appreciate the explanation. We''ve got a lot of excellent programs with some differences in system. It makes fot a very good conference.

[Mattymc727]

Goodness, I'm just pulling your leg. Isn't that what message boards are for sometimes?
The rotating conference schedule doesn't mean much because they prioritize regional teams and the greater strength of the conference is in the south than the north. You get URI, Maine, Albany, Stony Brook each season. Northeastern and Hofstra in the past. UMass was the only other consistently tough northern team and they're now gone. We also had ODU in the south for two seasons. The presence of Elon helps to make up for you all having URI as a very easy team up north each season. Stony Brook is proving to be at least a middle of the pack CAA team so far, so that helps the north's strength moving forward.
Ps, we are going to fart around in FCS forever. That has been crystal clear since April 2012. Nothing is going to change until our current president hits the door.... or some miracle happens and something opens up in the MAC and they don't want Stony Brook more.

Those are all very fair points, but thats not UNH's fault. UNH wins the games on their schedule, and it gets them to the playoffs. You do point out a bigger issue with the CAA being weaker over the last 5 years however.

Considering what JMU has had for fan support and resources compared to what UNH has had, Id say its QUITE the better resume for UNH.

[WrenFGun]

UNH's schedule is atrocious this season. They probably SHOULD get to 7-4, or at least sniff it, even with the current talent level. They have really no right to make the playoffs at that rate, though, unless one of those 7 wins is over W&M.

Their remaining 7 games? Elon, URI, Albany, W&M, Richmond, Delaware, Maine. No 'Nova. No JMU.

[Mattymc727]

UNH's schedule is atrocious this season. They probably SHOULD get to 7-4, or at least sniff it, even with the current talent level. They have really no right to make the playoffs at that rate, though, unless one of those 7 wins is over W&M.

Their remaining 7 games? Elon, URI, Albany, W&M, Richmond, Delaware, Maine. No 'Nova. No JMU.

No doubt. 7-4 wont cut it. Even at 8-3 its debatable.

[RootinFerDukes]

UNH's schedule is atrocious this season. They probably SHOULD get to 7-4, or at least sniff it, even with the current talent level. They have really no right to make the playoffs at that rate, though, unless one of those 7 wins is over W&M.

Their remaining 7 games? Elon, URI, Albany, W&M, Richmond, Delaware, Maine. No 'Nova. No JMU.
I think UNH should be safe with 7 wins as long as some of them are against better teams. I think the 11 year streak is good enough to continue to give UNH the benefit of the doubt with the selection committee. NDSU will also get the benefit of the doubt for a long time.
JMU benefited in the national rankings for the 09-11 seasons after our 04-08 run. We then had to win consistently to even get anywhere near it again. It was a two season process to rebuild respect.

[tribe_pride]

I think UNH should be safe with 7 wins as long as some of them are against better teams. I think the 11 year streak is good enough to continue to give UNH the benefit of the doubt with the selection committee. NDSU will also get the benefit of the doubt for a long time.
JMU benefited in the national rankings for the 09-11 seasons after our 04-08 run. We then had to win consistently to even get anywhere near it again. It was a two season process to rebuild respect.

The question is who are the better teams they would have to beat at 7 wins?

So far
- losses to @San Jose St. and @Stony Brook - both ok losses to decent teams but both blowout losses
- wins against CCSU and @Colgate - both bad teams

Games Remaining
- Elon
- @ W&M - if they can win this, they should be in good shape as Tribe is looking good so far
- @ Delaware
- URI
- Richmond - this would be a good win
- @ Albany
- Maine

Basically, they have 5 of the remaining 6 bottom CAA teams (they skip Towson this year) plus @W&M and Richmond. If they lose to W&M and Richmond and beat the other 5, the only way they get in is tradition (unless very down year from others) because their best win would be against Delaware or Albany I guess.

[RootinFerDukes]

Yeah, UNH would need to get a win over WM or UR as things currently stand. They would need 8 wins.

[KPSUL]

A couple points or counters. I don't think Colgate will be counted as a"bad" team at the end of the season. I think they may finish 2nd in the PL. The win over Colgate may rank as one of the better OOC FCS wins for CAA teams. Let's face it, we don't play a real tough OOC FCS SCHEDULE in the CAA. I agree that a win over either W&M or Richmond is a must have. But consdering our total lack of success at Zable, it really comes down to Richmond. In addition, we have to win all the other conference games, and Delaware at their place is a close call at this point.

[KPSUL]

No doubt. 7-4 wont cut it. Even at 8-3 its debatable.We're in 8-3 no matter how it happens.

[LeadBolt]

I think it's pretty simple for UNH. Lose 0 or 1 of the remaining schedule and they're in. Lose 2 or more and they're out.

[Mattymc727]

Im not so sure UNH is a lock at 8-3. It could be very similar to the 2012 season actually. That year UNH squeeked into the playoffs over Towson, which was very controvercial. The only good win on UNH's resume that year was against Richmond at home, by 4 points.

This year, if UNH loses to W&M, who is probably the best team left on the schedule, than the programs strongest wins are @ UD and home against Richmond. Its hard to tell, but those two teams may not be above .500. I guess past experience can carry us in over a team from a weaker conference with the expanded field, but its not a good resume. We will know much more about this young UNH team when it heads to W&M in a few weeks.

http://espn.go.com/college-football/team/schedule/_/id/160/year/2012/new-hampshire-wildcats