AGS Contest: 2013 Playoff Projection Challenge

[MTfan4life]

It's about a good time to get this thing going. It's going to be a little bit different, but a lot more simple than last year. Your task, if you choose to accept, is to pick the 24 playoff teams. The person who comes away with the most points will win something. Well, I guess I can't promise anything, so for now the winner will receive a mental high five from both myself and a randomly chosen resident of the Old Folks home right near my place. Stay tuned for additional potential prizes.

It will be a little more broken down than simply picking the 24 teams, so here are the directions:

First, pick the top 8 seeds, ranking them in order from 1-8.
Second, pick the remaining 16 teams who will be playing in the first round. You won't have to match them up with another team, however you are asked to designate whether you think they will be a first round home team or a first round away team.

At the bottom of this post, there will be a link to a form that looks just like the form we use for the AGS Poll ballots.

Rules:
There isn't a dropdown list like we have in the Poll ballot system, so make sure and enter the team name. If you want to pick North Dakota State, say North Dakota State and not NDSU. No initials and try to keep the spelling decent. If you need help spelling, just search the team on google or check any FCS standings page. (All "Townson" picks will be changed to Rhode Island.) ;)

Scoring breakdown
Seeds:
3 points for correctly picking each numbered seed in the correct spot - If you have a team in the wrong spot but as a seed, that's just 1 point.
10 points for correctly picking the top 8 seeds in the correct order

First round teams:
3 points for correctly picking a team as being either the home or away team - Just like above, 1 point for that selection if in the wrong spot.
10 points for correctly designating all 16 teams as home or away. If you have all 16 teams but some are in the wrong home/away spot, 5 points.

Total bracket:
10 bonus points for simply picking all 24 teams regardless of placement.

The scoring is subject to change but only before the deadline. This will likely stay the same, I just figured I'd think on it more before finalizing.

Deadline:
Your projections are due this Friday at 11:59 PM CST. Yes, that's before the final round of games, but that's the way it has to go.

Form:
MAKE YOUR PICKS HERE (https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1cBq5aPM4Fs7BGJrYZmQo89mepQ0TdDyA9jBXRLxtog0/viewform)

[MTfan4life]

This one will need its share of 'bumps' to keep people notified of the contest.

For this I'll give a sample example of what you're doing. I'll use FBS teams but it's the same concept.
1. Alabama
2. Florida State
3. Baylor
4. Ohio State
5. Oregon
6. Missouri
7. Auburn
8. Michigan State

First round Home Teams
Oklahoma State
Arizona State
Texas A&M
South Carolina
Southern California
California - Los Angeles
Wisconsin
Clemson

First Round Away Teams
Central Florida
Northern Illinois
Louisiana-Lafayette
East Carolina
Fresno State
Stanford
Louisville (2013's Lehigh)
Louisiana State

Simple as that.

[ursus arctos horribilis]

When you make your picks come back to the thread and let it be known that you've submitted. This one does not have an email response with your answers tied to it so it will all MTFan to make sure it landed and also will help us in the bumping up of this thread to get it in front of as many people as possible.

The size of the prize will be directly related to the number of contestants in this contest and will be a gift card that I can purchase online for the winner. There will be a admittance to the Playa's club along with the credentials and an AGS Tshirt with that userbar replicated on it.

[gotts]

Submitted!

[WileECoyote06]

Submitted!

[gumby013]

Submitted!

Note: One was submitted in error, with only like 5 teams filled out.

[BisonFan02]

Bump...I will submit tonight.

[Professor Chaos]

Bump...I will submit tonight.
Ewww, nobody wants to hear about that kinky s*** you do on your own time. :D

[BisonFan02]

Ewww, nobody wants to hear about that kinky s*** you do on your own time. :D

Thank you sir may I have another! xlolx ....yeah, I should have worded that differently.

[UIWWildthing]

Like someone caught in Ric Flair's figure four, I've submitted

[MTfan4life]

I know this is a picky rule, but please put the full name of the team in. North Dakota State or North Dakota St., not NDSU. You don't have to put University in there, but thank you WileECoyote06 for the extra effort! xthumbsupx

Also, second rule. Make sure you are only including teams at the FCS level. There's already one person who picked Utah State to host in the first round.

Also, third reminder. A team can't play both a road game and a home game. Maybe write down your picks on a piece of paper or in a Word/Excel Document beforehand. Make sure there are no repeats and you have your seeds separated and then fill out the form. Just a suggestion.

PM me if you want to make any changes.

[Professor Chaos]

Submitted

[melloware13]

Submitted

[wmmii]

submitted

[Screamin_Eagle174]

Submitted.

[McNeese75]

Ok, I tried twice and kept hitting the damn enter key before I was through, LOL, just scratch me

[MTfan4life]

Ok, I tried twice and kept hitting the damn enter key before I was through, LOL, just scratch me

Haha, keep trying! Or you could just PM me your picks and I'll enter them for ya.

[FordhamFan]

In, and boy is it tough to finish the last 4 or so teams

[McNeese75]

OK after 486 tries I am in. Its the one that is completely filled out LOL

[caribbeanhen]

I know this is a picky rule, but please put the full name of the team in. North Dakota State or North Dakota St., not NDSU. You don't have to put University in there, but thank you WileECoyote06 for the extra effort! xthumbsupx

Also, second rule. Make sure you are only including teams at the FCS level. There's already one person who picked Utah State to host in the first round.

Also, third reminder. A team can't play both a road game and a home game. Maybe write down your picks on a piece of paper or in a Word/Excel Document beforehand. Make sure there are no repeats and you have your seeds separated and then fill out the form. Just a suggestion.

PM me if you want to make any changes.

I authorize you to make my picks for me

[Screamin_Eagle174]

Submitted.

Any way to scratch my first submission and submit another? I just realized a glaring mistake.

[Screamin_Eagle174]

Resubmitted.

[everettewu]

I just submitted under username everett03 instead of everettewu. I'll redo it under the correct username. Ignore the everett03 entries. Sorry!

[MTfan4life]

There are 14 entries so far.

[BisonTru]

Submitted!

[WrenFGun]

Submitted!

[MTfan4life]

bump...So far about 20 short of the number of entries last season. The more the merrier!

[ElCid]

Submitted. I see at least 5 or 6 that depend on this Saturday's games.

[MSU_77]

Submitted

[BisonFan02]

Submitted!!!!

[MTfan4life]

One last refresh. Picks are due tomorrow night. Surprised by the low numbers this season. It's really easy to fill out! Link in my sig to the form. Check the first page for the directions.

[Lehigh'98]

I think I'm in. Anyway you can verify?

[BisonFan02]

Bump....have a listing of usernames that have submitted thus far?

[MTfan4life]

Bump....have a listing of usernames that have submitted thus far?

Good idea!

WileECoyote06
gotts
gumby013
UIWWildthing
Cocky
Professor Chaos
melloware13
wmmii
wapiti
FordhamFan
McNeese75
Screamin_Eagle174
everettewu
BisonTru
lehigh'98
WrenFGun
Go Lehigh TU Owl
ElCid
footballer23
MSU_77
BisonFan02
putter
smilo
ursus arctos horribilis (ineligible for prize)
catbooster
furpal87
Bisonator
dewey
Pitz
tomq04
bluehen03
griz23

[putter]

I'm In!!

[smilo]

I am not even sure if I am eligible (the rules don't say I can't play), but I doubt it even matters. I'm picking literally every bubble team to lose tomorrow for the sole purpose of making my homer pick to get Nova on my ballot. You could probably put me in last place already.

[MTfan4life]

I am not even sure if I am eligible (the rules don't say I can't play), but I doubt it even matters. I'm picking literally every bubble team to lose tomorrow for the sole purpose of making my homer pick to get Nova on my ballot. You could probably put me in last place already.

Do you have a pulse? If so, then you're eligible!

[Catbooster]

In

[furpal87]

Done

[Bisonator]

I have no clue but I'm in.xlolx

[dewey]

Done. Thanks for doing this.

Dewey

[MTfan4life]

Out of a kind of a suggestion from a participant, all Marist selections will be changed to Butler considering that was finalized before our deadline comes up. No more freebies though!!! ;) 12 hours left before the form closes.

[tomq04]

submitted!

[Pitz]

Man, I have no idea what the committee is going to do with South Carolina State.

[BlueHen03]

Submitted. Great contest, really took some thought.

[Professor Chaos]

Man, I have no idea what the committee is going to do with South Carolina State.
I do. The 7 D1 teams they've beaten are a combined 24-49 in D1 competition this year.

[Griz23]

Submitted. How do I verify it was received?

[MTfan4life]

Submitted. How do I verify it was received?



WileECoyote06
gotts
gumby013
UIWWildthing
Cocky
Professor Chaos
melloware13
wmmii
wapiti
FordhamFan
McNeese75
Screamin_Eagle174
everettewu
BisonTru
lehigh'98
WrenFGun
Go Lehigh TU Owl
ElCid
footballer23
MSU_77
BisonFan02
putter
smilo
ursus arctos horribilis (ineligible for prize)
catbooster
furpal87
Bisonator
dewey
Pitz
tomq04
bluehen03
griz23
sharkeycox
Grizzlies82
4grz

^^ List of users who have entered. Three hours left before the deadline.

[Screamin_Eagle174]

Do you have a pulse? If so, then you're eligible!

Did the big ginger die on us!?

[Screamin_Eagle174]

Sorry to do this to ya MTfan, but I need to resubmit, after looking at schedules and records further.

EDIT: Nevermind, didn't realize you had already closed it. For the record, I would replace Furman with William and Mary on my submitted ballot.

---Seeds---
1. NDSU
2. EWU
3. EIU
4. Maine
5. SELA
6. Towson
7. Fordham
8. McNeese

---Home 1st Round---
Montana
NAU
CCU
YSU
Lehigh
W&M
Tennessee State
Chatty

---Road 1st Round---
SUU
Chuck South
Bethune-Cookman
Samford
Sacred Heart
SHSU
Butler
SC State

[frozennorth]

we we be getting summary statistics? IE how many picked which champ/runnerup.

[MTfan4life]

we we be getting summary statistics? IE how many picked which champ/runnerup.

Well considering this was a contest to simply project the 24 teams that will make the playoffs...

I can try and throw together some stats though.
I know NDSU was picked #1 by all 36 people. Also, one person picked Utah State to join the field, and even though there were 36 entries, there were 38 Sam Houston selections.

[caribbeanhen]

someone got lucky as I missed the deadline

[ejjones]

I do. The 7 D1 teams they've beaten are a combined 24-49 in D1 competition this year.
Since you do, then "what say thee"? The 3 games they lost...teams will probably end with a combine record of 33-5, be in thr FCS playoffs & go to a BCS Bowl. So, obviously they don't have a bad lost on their resume & most importantly they pass the "eye" test. I promise you, no one wants that draw in the first round.

[MTfan4life]

Sam Houston State

106%


Northern Arizona
103%


Eastern Illinois
100%


Eastern Washington
100%


Maine
100%


Southeastern Louisiana
100%


Towson
100%


Fordham
100%


McNeese State
97%


Montana
97%


Coastal Carolina
97%


Bethune-Cookman
97%


Butler
94%


Youngstown State
92%


Sacred Heart
89%


Tennessee State
86%


Lehigh
86%


William & Mary
83%


Samford
81%


South Dakota State
72%


Charleston southern
67%


Chattanooga
61%


Southern Utah
56%


Furman
47%


Jacksonville State
39%


South Carolina State
31%


Delaware
31%


Montana State
28%


Lafayette
14%


Northern Iowa
14%


New Hampshire
11%


Southern Illinois
8%


Villanova
6%


Colgate
3%


Missouri State
3%


Utah State
3%



This is the number of times each team appeared on the ballot divided by the total number of entries, which was 36. Yes NDSU was left out, but it was already stated that they were the unanimous #1 seed.

[Grizzlies82]

Well considering this was a contest to simply project the 24 teams that will make the playoffs...

I can try and throw together some stats though.
I know NDSU was picked #1 by all 36 people. Also, one person picked Utah State to join the field, and even though there were 36 entries, there were 38 Sam Houston selections.

That is a nice advantage for SHSU. Do you think this will help Sam Houston's chances in the playoffs?

PS: Besides NDSU, was there any other consensus choice for #2, 3, 4... ?

[Squealofthepig]

I'm guessing the top six seeds are pretty consistent, with just a bit of differences between them in points (NDSU, EIU, EWU, Maine, SeLA, Towson). I think once you hit Fordham (who is taking care of business today) there is much less certainty (seven and eight seeds? Who the heck knows).

Edit: Also, safe to assume the Missouri State and Utah State votes are just trolling? The Bears have just five D1 wins, and Utah State... well, ignoring the obvious, they still need one more D1 win.

[ursus arctos horribilis]

I'm guessing the top six seeds are pretty consistent, with just a bit of differences between them in points (NDSU, EIU, EWU, Maine, SeLA, Towson). I think once you hit Fordham (who is taking care of business today) there is much less certainty (seven and eight seeds? Who the heck knows).

Edit: Also, safe to assume the Missouri State and Utah State votes are just trolling? The Bears have just five D1 wins, and Utah State... well, ignoring the obvious, they still need one more D1 win.
If you had left "ignoring the obious" out of that last line I'd have been wiping tears away brother. That is good.

[MTfan4life]

I'm guessing the top six seeds are pretty consistent, with just a bit of differences between them in points (NDSU, EIU, EWU, Maine, SeLA, Towson). I think once you hit Fordham (who is taking care of business today) there is much less certainty (seven and eight seeds? Who the heck knows).

Edit: Also, safe to assume the Missouri State and Utah State votes are just trolling? The Bears have just five D1 wins, and Utah State... well, ignoring the obvious, they still need one more D1 win.

I think the Utah State vote was simple oblivious to what school with Utah in their name was in the FCS. The Missouri State vote was in a ballot that I think was entirely computer ratings driven.

[ursus arctos horribilis]

I think the Utah State vote was simple oblivious to what school with Utah in their name was in the FCS. The Missouri State vote was in a ballot that I think was entirely computer ratings driven.

xlolx

Somehow I think I know who that one is from without even looking at the sheet.

[Lehigh'98]

well this last week certainly screwed up my picks...

[ValleyTalk]

SUU, YSU, WMU, and potentially SHSU all making the bubble look quite crazy.

As an aside, pitiful performance by YSU today. Played uninspired football.

[gotts]

I think the Utah State vote was simple oblivious to what school with Utah in their name was in the FCS. The Missouri State vote was in a ballot that I think was entirely computer ratings driven.

Sorry I meant that to be BYU, not Utah State xlolx

[ElCid]

And the winner is?

If anyone got any of the bonus points I would be surprised.

[MTfan4life]

And the winner is?

If anyone got any of the bonus points I would be surprised.

Trying to put together the points now. Surprisingly enough one guy got all the seeds correctly.

[MTfan4life]

Here are the rankings for number of correct teams picked out of the 24 teams in. This is not the final result, just the playoff teams picked correctly.



MTfan4life
22


everettewu
21


footballer23
21


putter
21


4grz
21


gotts
20


Cocky
20


wapiti
20


Screamin_Eagle174
20


Go Lehigh TU Owl
20


ElCid
20


BisonFan02
20


ineligiblursus
20


WileECoyote06
19


Professor Chaos
19


wmmii
19


FordhamFan
19


McNeese75
19


WrenFGun
19


dewey
19


Pitz
19


griz23
19


sharkeycox
19


gumby013
18


UIWWildthing
18


melloware13
18


BisonTru
18


lehigh'98
18


MSU_77
18


catbooster
18


furpal87
18


Bisonator
18


bluehen03
18


Grizzlies82
18


smilo
17


tomq04
16

[MTfan4life]

Final Projection Challenge Standings
Congratulations to sharkeycox for not only winning but for being the only poster to correctly pick all 8 seeds in the correct order.



sharkeycox
63


FordhamFan
53


everettewu
53


putter
52


Cocky
51


MTfan4life
49


gotts
48


4grz
48


McNeese75
47


Pitz
47


UIWWildthing
46


BisonFan02
46


gumby013
45


wmmii
45


wapiti
45


footballer23
45


ineligiblursus
45


Go Lehigh TU Owl
41


Bisonator
41


Grizzlies82
41


Screamin_Eagle174
40


BisonTru
40


WrenFGun
40


ElCid
40


bluehen03
40


lehigh'98
39


tomq04
39


Professor Chaos
38


melloware13
38


MSU_77
38


catbooster
38


furpal87
38


dewey
37


WileECoyote06
36


smilo
35


griz23
34

[FordhamFan]

Damnnnn I guess I'll take second.

[Cocky]

5th?
the shark smoked everyone.

[BisonFan02]

T-11th.....I've got work to do! xlolx