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November 4th, 2012, 03:29 PM
Here are a few clarifications for the playoff field of 20: The Ivy and SWAC does not participate Assume a team must also reach 7 D1 wins to be eligible.for an at large. ALSO there are teams with still a chance of winning their Autobid but I have not listed due to upcoming schedule, will add as necessary.
FCS teams that can still entertain realistic playoff hopes. Schools are ranked by their chances of making the playoffs.. Current overall and conference records are in parentheses, and each team’s remaining schedule is listed with a brief synopsis of its chances. The adds of AQ means they got the Autobid or IN means I believe they have already made the field regardless of how they finish. The rank below is based on being in the playoffs not where I believe they will be seated. D11 wins are excluded with an **.
1. North Dakota State (8-1, 5-1 MVC)
The Games: S.Dak St, at Ill St
Outlook: IN The Bison are back in the drivers seat for the AB things are looking good regardless they are in the field at 8-3
2. Bethune Cookman (MEAC)
Outlook: AQ A one bid conference and one of the four above – I think Bethune
3. Central Arkansas (7-2, 6-1 Southland)**
The Games: N’wstern St, E Ilinois
Outlook:AQ They look to be in good shape but any loss puts things in doubt
4. Illinois State (8-2, 6-2 MVC)
The Games: NDSU
Outlook: IN An 8 win team out of the MVC gets in!
5. Albany/Wagner (NEC)
Outlook: AQ One bid conference Wagner gets the nod now
6. Lehigh (9-0, 3-0 Patriot)
The Games: Colgate, at Layfayette
Outlook: The at large field is hoping Lehigh doesn’t trip up
7. Stoney Brook (9-1, 5-0 Big South)
The Games: at Liberty
Outlook: In the drivers seat for the AB, one more win needed
8. Old Dominion (8-1, 5-1 CAA not eligible for Conf title)
The Games: W&M, at JMU
Outlook: Can’t win the AB but are fighting for a top seed
9. Montana State (7-1, 5-1 Big Sky)**
The Games: Port St, at Montana
Outlook: Needs to keep winning but see them in the post season with one more win.
10. Northern Arizona (7-1, 6-0 Big Sky)**
The Games: S. Utah, Cal Poly
Outlook: Win two more and in control of the Big Sky AB – one more secures the postseason
11. Ga Southern (7-2, 6-2 Southern)
The Games: Howard, at Georgia
Outlook: Don’t look now but GSU just won a share of the Socon but lost – they must win next week or are in real trouble – They will win no doubt!
12. Sam Houston State (6-2, 5-1 Southland)**
The Games: at N’wstern St, at Texas A&M
Outlook: A win next week puts them in the postseason and alive for a seed, the at large field hoping for loss this coming weekend
13. Eastern Washington 7-2, 5-2 Big Sky)
The Games: UC Davis, at Port St
Outlook: Schedule not as tough but much can happen as we have seen week to week
14. New Hampshire (8-2, 6-1 CAA)
The Games: Towson
Outlook: Needs a huge win next week to secure the AB
15. Appalachian State (7-3, 5-2 Southern)
The Games: Furman
Outlook: A huge win at Statesboro, all of a sudden ASU can capture a piece of the title and if they win next week (difficult) and UTC wins – ASU captures the Socon AB – GO FIGURE???
16. Wofford (6-2, 5-2 Southern)**
The Games: UTC, at S. Carolina
Outlook: Needs to win 1 more to make the field, in a 4 way tie for first place a loss next week will likely eliminate them from the postseason and again they will be WOFFFED
17. UT Martin (7-2, 5-1 OVC)
The Games: at Tenn Tech, Tenn St
Outlook: Avoid any more losses and they could win the AB
18. Tennessee State (8-2, 4-2 OVC)
The Games: at UT Martin
Outlook: Okay officially a mess in the OVC – a huge game looms at UT Martin
19. Indiana State (6-3, 5-2 MVC)
The Games: at Youngstown St
Outlook: Needs the victory at Youngstown to make the playoffs
20. South Dakota State (7-2, 5-1 MVC)
The Games: at NDSU, S. Dakota
Outlook: Still a tough schedule ahead but I think they get one more win and get in the field
21. Cal Poly (7-2, 5-2 Big Sky)
The Games: Idaho St, at N.Arizona
Outlook: Things continue to worsen for Cal Poly another loss may put them in real jeopardy of making the field
22. Villanova (6-3, 4-2 CAA)
The Games: JMU, at Delaware
Outlook: Elimination game next week
23. James Madison (7-2, 5-1 CAA)
The Games: at Villanova, ODU
Outlook: Again a log jam at the top and 2 tough games upcoming
24. Eastern Illinois (6-3, 5-1 OVC)
The Games: SEMO St, at C. Arkansas
Outlook: Needs 2 more wins to make the postseason
25. Richmond (6-3, 4-2 CAA)
The Games: Delaware, at W&M
Outlook: They can’t afford to lose again and I believe they won’t
26. Colgate (6-3, 4-0 Patriot)
The Games: at Lehigh, at Fordham
Outlook: Needs to knock off Lehigh next week – if they do a lot of teams will become more nervous
27. Towson (5-4, 4-2 CAA)
The Games: R. Island, at N. Hampshire
Outlook: Win out and you could be playing on Thanksgiving
28. Eastern Kentucky (7-3, 5-2 OVC)
The Games: Murray St.
Outlook: Need a win next week to stay in the mix
29. Citadel (5-4, 4-3 Southern)
The Games: at VMI, at Furman
Outlook: If they can win out, they have to be in the discussion
Below are my current projections for the I-AA playoff field.
Automatic Bids:
Patriot: Lehigh CAA: N Hampshire
Big Sky: N. Arizona Southland: C. Arkansas
Southern: ASU MVC: NDSU
MEAC: Bethune OVC: UT Martin
Big South: Stony Brook NEC: Wagner
At-large: Wofford, Illinois State, Sam Houston State, Richmond, Montana St, ODU, Cal Poly, E. Washington, South Dakota State, GSU
Seeds: ASU, N Arizona, NDSU, ODU, Lehigh
Last In: Cal Poly, Richmond
Last Out: Sac State, Villanova, Tenn State, E. Illinois
Bracket I:
Wagner vs Illinois State winner at No. 1 NDS U
C. Arkansas @ Montana State
Wofford vs Bethune winner at No. 4 ODU
N Hampshire @ No. 5 Lehigh
Bracket II:
Stoney Brook vs Richmond winner at No. 3 ASU
UT Martin @ GSU
Cal Poly vs South Dakota State winner at No. 2 N. Arizona
E Washington @ Sam Houston State
FCS teams that can still entertain realistic playoff hopes. Schools are ranked by their chances of making the playoffs.. Current overall and conference records are in parentheses, and each team’s remaining schedule is listed with a brief synopsis of its chances. The adds of AQ means they got the Autobid or IN means I believe they have already made the field regardless of how they finish. The rank below is based on being in the playoffs not where I believe they will be seated. D11 wins are excluded with an **.
1. North Dakota State (8-1, 5-1 MVC)
The Games: S.Dak St, at Ill St
Outlook: IN The Bison are back in the drivers seat for the AB things are looking good regardless they are in the field at 8-3
2. Bethune Cookman (MEAC)
Outlook: AQ A one bid conference and one of the four above – I think Bethune
3. Central Arkansas (7-2, 6-1 Southland)**
The Games: N’wstern St, E Ilinois
Outlook:AQ They look to be in good shape but any loss puts things in doubt
4. Illinois State (8-2, 6-2 MVC)
The Games: NDSU
Outlook: IN An 8 win team out of the MVC gets in!
5. Albany/Wagner (NEC)
Outlook: AQ One bid conference Wagner gets the nod now
6. Lehigh (9-0, 3-0 Patriot)
The Games: Colgate, at Layfayette
Outlook: The at large field is hoping Lehigh doesn’t trip up
7. Stoney Brook (9-1, 5-0 Big South)
The Games: at Liberty
Outlook: In the drivers seat for the AB, one more win needed
8. Old Dominion (8-1, 5-1 CAA not eligible for Conf title)
The Games: W&M, at JMU
Outlook: Can’t win the AB but are fighting for a top seed
9. Montana State (7-1, 5-1 Big Sky)**
The Games: Port St, at Montana
Outlook: Needs to keep winning but see them in the post season with one more win.
10. Northern Arizona (7-1, 6-0 Big Sky)**
The Games: S. Utah, Cal Poly
Outlook: Win two more and in control of the Big Sky AB – one more secures the postseason
11. Ga Southern (7-2, 6-2 Southern)
The Games: Howard, at Georgia
Outlook: Don’t look now but GSU just won a share of the Socon but lost – they must win next week or are in real trouble – They will win no doubt!
12. Sam Houston State (6-2, 5-1 Southland)**
The Games: at N’wstern St, at Texas A&M
Outlook: A win next week puts them in the postseason and alive for a seed, the at large field hoping for loss this coming weekend
13. Eastern Washington 7-2, 5-2 Big Sky)
The Games: UC Davis, at Port St
Outlook: Schedule not as tough but much can happen as we have seen week to week
14. New Hampshire (8-2, 6-1 CAA)
The Games: Towson
Outlook: Needs a huge win next week to secure the AB
15. Appalachian State (7-3, 5-2 Southern)
The Games: Furman
Outlook: A huge win at Statesboro, all of a sudden ASU can capture a piece of the title and if they win next week (difficult) and UTC wins – ASU captures the Socon AB – GO FIGURE???
16. Wofford (6-2, 5-2 Southern)**
The Games: UTC, at S. Carolina
Outlook: Needs to win 1 more to make the field, in a 4 way tie for first place a loss next week will likely eliminate them from the postseason and again they will be WOFFFED
17. UT Martin (7-2, 5-1 OVC)
The Games: at Tenn Tech, Tenn St
Outlook: Avoid any more losses and they could win the AB
18. Tennessee State (8-2, 4-2 OVC)
The Games: at UT Martin
Outlook: Okay officially a mess in the OVC – a huge game looms at UT Martin
19. Indiana State (6-3, 5-2 MVC)
The Games: at Youngstown St
Outlook: Needs the victory at Youngstown to make the playoffs
20. South Dakota State (7-2, 5-1 MVC)
The Games: at NDSU, S. Dakota
Outlook: Still a tough schedule ahead but I think they get one more win and get in the field
21. Cal Poly (7-2, 5-2 Big Sky)
The Games: Idaho St, at N.Arizona
Outlook: Things continue to worsen for Cal Poly another loss may put them in real jeopardy of making the field
22. Villanova (6-3, 4-2 CAA)
The Games: JMU, at Delaware
Outlook: Elimination game next week
23. James Madison (7-2, 5-1 CAA)
The Games: at Villanova, ODU
Outlook: Again a log jam at the top and 2 tough games upcoming
24. Eastern Illinois (6-3, 5-1 OVC)
The Games: SEMO St, at C. Arkansas
Outlook: Needs 2 more wins to make the postseason
25. Richmond (6-3, 4-2 CAA)
The Games: Delaware, at W&M
Outlook: They can’t afford to lose again and I believe they won’t
26. Colgate (6-3, 4-0 Patriot)
The Games: at Lehigh, at Fordham
Outlook: Needs to knock off Lehigh next week – if they do a lot of teams will become more nervous
27. Towson (5-4, 4-2 CAA)
The Games: R. Island, at N. Hampshire
Outlook: Win out and you could be playing on Thanksgiving
28. Eastern Kentucky (7-3, 5-2 OVC)
The Games: Murray St.
Outlook: Need a win next week to stay in the mix
29. Citadel (5-4, 4-3 Southern)
The Games: at VMI, at Furman
Outlook: If they can win out, they have to be in the discussion
Below are my current projections for the I-AA playoff field.
Automatic Bids:
Patriot: Lehigh CAA: N Hampshire
Big Sky: N. Arizona Southland: C. Arkansas
Southern: ASU MVC: NDSU
MEAC: Bethune OVC: UT Martin
Big South: Stony Brook NEC: Wagner
At-large: Wofford, Illinois State, Sam Houston State, Richmond, Montana St, ODU, Cal Poly, E. Washington, South Dakota State, GSU
Seeds: ASU, N Arizona, NDSU, ODU, Lehigh
Last In: Cal Poly, Richmond
Last Out: Sac State, Villanova, Tenn State, E. Illinois
Bracket I:
Wagner vs Illinois State winner at No. 1 NDS U
C. Arkansas @ Montana State
Wofford vs Bethune winner at No. 4 ODU
N Hampshire @ No. 5 Lehigh
Bracket II:
Stoney Brook vs Richmond winner at No. 3 ASU
UT Martin @ GSU
Cal Poly vs South Dakota State winner at No. 2 N. Arizona
E Washington @ Sam Houston State