9-2 is a maybe but an 8-3 team (even Nicholls) is going to be sitting at home IMHO. Nicholls most likely chance of a loss is with SELU. A loss against an unranked team and the curbstomping in Huntsville will keep them out.
McNeese is completely out IMO unless they can pull a rabbit out of the hat in Conway which is not likely.
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