Which teams... in '05... have the best chance to surprise and which teams are the best bet to disappoint?

Listed below is last year's preseason AGS Poll (actual finish in parenthesis)

1. Delaware (8)
2. Southern Illinois (9)
3. Montana (3)
4. Furman (5)
5. Northern Iowa (25)
6. Wofford (18)
7. Colgate (n/r)
8. Maine (n/r)
9. Georgia Southern (10)
10. Villanova (n/r)
11. McNeese State (n/r)
12. Northern Arizona (n/r)
13. Montana State (n/r)
14. Western Kentucky (11)
15. Northwestern State (17)
16. Stephen F. Austin (n/r)
17. Western Illinois (n/r)
18. Massachusetts (n/r)
19. Appalachian State (n/r)
20. Grambling (n/r)
21. Lehigh (14)
22. Eastern Kentucky (n/r)
23. Northeastern (n/r)
24. Northern Colorado (n/r)
25. Southern (n/r)


based on that preseason poll a few of the '04 Ups & Downs were...

Ups:

JMU
SHS
W&M
UNH
EWU


Downs:

McNeese St
Colgate
Maine
Villanova
NAU


Who's are your candidates for the UPs & DOWNs awards this year...???