The other thread about dark horses got me thinking. Each year in the past I've tried to find the one or two teams that will emerge from the pack and have a Top 25 season. If anyone picked Texas State a couple years ago or Delaware State last year, you looked pretty smart... but have you had any teams that made you look foolish?

For me:
- 2005 Northwestern State, coming off a playoff run in 2004 with a very good defense, they crapped the bed in 2005 after beating LA-Monroe. I think I had them in my Top 10.

- 2006 Idaho State, finished 5-6 in 2005 and then 2-9 in 2006 after I had them around 15.

- Illinois State just about every year except 2006... probably the one year I didn't have them in my pre-season Top 25.