Massey Projected Wins/Playoff Outlook

[BisonTru]

I did this a few weeks ago and thought I'd share an updated version. This is Massey's estimated wins remaining plus the D1 wins teams have already banked. I am fairly confident in this scenario on the first 9 at larges. Five more at larges would need to come from teams I put in the bubble. They are ranked by Massey.

I'd love to hear what people feel the remaining at larges would be in this outlook.

Green = Est. 8+ wins, Yellow = Est. 7 wins, Orange = Est. 6 wins, Red = Est. 5 wins or less

		D1 Wins	Est. Wins Left	Est. Losses Left	Projected Wins
N Dakota StMissouri Valley	6-01.000	6	4.78	0.22	10.78	MVFC Auto
James MadisonColonial	5-20.714	5	3.61	0.39	8.61	CAA Auto
S Dakota StMissouri Valley	4-10.800	4	3.56	1.44	7.56	AL1
Illinois StMissouri Valley	5-10.833	4	2.91	2.09	6.91	AL2
E WashingtonBig Sky	5-20.714	4	3.44	0.56	7.44	Big Sky Auto
Northern IowaMissouri Valley	3-30.500	3	3.21	1.79	6.21	Bubble
TowsonColonial	5-10.833	5	2.65	2.35	7.65	AL3
Weber StBig Sky	4-20.667	4	3.71	1.29	7.71	AL4
ElonColonial	4-20.667	4	2.67	1.33	6.67	AL9
UC DavisBig Sky	5-10.833	5	3.19	1.81	8.19	AL5
DelawareColonial	4-20.667	4	3.47	1.53	7.47	AL8
ColgatePatriot League	6-01.000	6	2.99	1.01	8.99	Patroit Auto
Jacksonville StOH Valley	5-10.833	5	3.91	1.09	8.91	OVC Auto
Stony BrookColonial	5-20.714	5	2.05	1.95	7.05	Bubble
Missouri StMissouri Valley	4-20.667	4	1.68	3.32	5.68	Bubble
South DakotaMissouri Valley	3-30.500	3	2.25	2.75	5.25	Out
KennesawBig South	6-10.857	5	3.16	0.84	8.16	Big South Auto
Idaho StBig Sky	4-20.667	4	2.83	2.17	6.83	Bubble
MaineColonial	4-20.667	4	2.83	2.17	6.83	Bubble
North DakotaBig Sky	4-20.667	4	2.94	2.06	6.94	Bubble
VillanovaColonial	3-40.429	3	2.62	1.38	5.62	Bubble
W IllinoisMissouri Valley	2-40.333	2	2.53	2.47	4.53	Out
Montana StBig Sky	4-20.667	4	2.55	2.45	6.55	Bubble
Cent ArkansasSouthland	4-20.667	4	4.06	0.94	8.06	Southland Auto
Rhode IslandColonial	4-20.667	4	2.31	2.69	6.31	Bubble
Northern ArizonaBig Sky	3-30.500	3	2.86	2.14	5.86	Bubble
WoffordSouthern	4-20.667	4	3.85	1.15	7.85	Southern Auto
Sam Houston StSouthland	4-20.667	4	4.06	0.94	8.06	AL6
MontanaBig Sky	4-30.571	4	1.99	2.01	5.99	Bubble
McNeese StSouthland	5-10.833	5	3.14	1.86	8.14	AL7
Nicholls StSouthland	4-30.571	4	3.45	0.55	7.45	Bubble
FurmanSouthern	2-30.400	2	3.42	1.58	5.42	Out
ChattanoogaSouthern	5-20.714	5	1.91	2.09	6.91	Bubble
RichmondColonial	3-40.429	3	1.67	2.33	4.67	Out
ETSUSouthern	6-10.857	5	1.6	2.4	6.6	Bubble
IdahoBig Sky	2-40.333	1	1.84	3.16	2.84	Out
SE Missouri StOH Valley	4-20.667	4	2.6	2.4	6.6	Bubble
NC A&TMid-Eastern AC	5-20.714	5	3.47	0.53	8.47	Potential Bubble
Youngstown StMissouri Valley	2-40.333	2	1.33	3.67	3.33	Out
SamfordSouthern	3-40.429	2	2.15	1.85	4.15	Out
S IllinoisMissouri Valley	1-50.167	1	1.48	3.52	2.48	OUt
MercerSouthern	3-30.500	3	2.55	2.45	5.55	Weak Bubble
Cal PolyBig Sky	2-40.333	2	1.62	3.38	3.62	Out
E KentuckyOH Valley	3-30.500	3	3.53	1.47	6.53	Weak Bubble
Indiana StMissouri Valley	2-40.333	1	1.27	3.73	2.27	Out
Murray StOH Valley	3-30.500	3	2.24	2.76	5.24	Out
Portland StBig Sky	3-40.429	2	0.93	3.07	2.93	Out
New HampshireColonial	1-50.167	1	1.39	3.61	2.39	Out
Southern UtahBig Sky	1-50.167	1	2.4	2.6	3.4	Out
Austin PeayOH Valley	3-40.429	3	2.9	1.1	5.9	Weak Bubble
William & MaryColonial	2-40.333	2	0.82	3.18	2.82	Out
Florida A&MMid-Eastern AC	5-20.714	4	2.79	1.21	6.79	Weak Bubble
Incarnate WordSouthland	3-30.500	3	1.88	3.12	4.88	Out
CitadelSouthern	1-40.200	1	2.99	3.01	3.99	Out
SE LouisianaSouthland	3-40.429	3	1.42	2.58	4.42	Out
CS SacramentoBig Sky	2-40.333	1	1.52	3.48	2.52	Out
TN MartinOH Valley	1-50.167	1	2.8	2.2	3.8	Out
Tennessee StOH Valley	2-30.400	2	1.87	2.13	3.87	Out
Abilene ChrSouthland	3-40.429	2	1.64	2.36	3.64	Out
Monmouth NJBig South	4-20.667	4	3.02	1.98	7.02	Weak Bubble
San DiegoPioneer	4-20.667	4	4.24	0.76	8.24	Pioneer Auto