I don't see how can you can call Lehigh a win when Colgate is 2-6 against the Mountain Hawks this decade. Refs, not refs, no defense, etc Lehigh has had your number. In fact, Lehigh's offense has lit up the Raider defense for 30, 42, 45, 41 points the last 4 meetings. You can say the refs lost cost the game this year but the defense clearly didn't help nor did Matthews' ball security. The Raiders still need to figure out how to stop Mayes and Bragalone next year.
New Hampshire has lost something like 7 games in Durham since the start of the 2004 season. I know Colgate won up there in 2015 but the odds are stacked severely against them. Hell, ranked CAA teams lose up there all the time. If Colgate got the Wildcats in Hamilton then I'd call that game a toss-op. Because like you, I don't think UNH is all that great either if you can get them out of their hole "up there". That stadium is still mediocre for the money they spent.
I have to believe there will finally be changes on the Lehigh defense after this year. The embarrassment level reached a new high and it hangs over the team like a black cloud. Barring some miraculous performance against Stony Brook expect to see some real changes. Even so, Navy is going to destroy Lehigh.
As for Army-Colgate. You can't keep the option off the field if you don't get first downs. Army's defense is pretty good by FBS standards. Monken has been able to recruit bigger, more physical guys in the trenches. They beat a healthy Chase Edmonds and Fordham team 66-6 to start the year. They beat Lafayette 62-7 last year. Furman is the most physical team Colgate played this year and the Paladins absolutely destroyed the Raiders on both lines of scrimmage. Buffalo's OL rolled the Raider front 7 in the first half too. Colgate will do better than Fordham and Lafayette did but not by all that much. My guess is Army 52-17 assuming Monken returns. I find it interesting that Army finishes next year against Lafayette and Colgate. That's kind of weak on their part imo.
The league figures to be terrible next year outside of Lehigh and Colgate imo. Lafayette is the best hope for a 3rd team with a pulse. Holy Cross and Fordham are going to get beat up by tough schedules and program overhauls. Bucknell and Georgetown offer very little...
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