Quote Originally Posted by FUBeAR View Post
TIME DESCRIPTION TEMP FEELS PRECIP HUMIDITY WIND
2:00 PM
SAT
Cloudy 68° 68° 25% 74% SW 16 mph
2:30 PM
SAT
KICKOFF TIME FURMAN @ SAMFORD
3:00 PM
SAT
Showers 68° 68° 40% 74% SW 15 mph
4:00 PM
SAT
Showers 68° 68° 50% 74% SW 14 mph
5:00 PM
SAT
Rain 67° 67° 60% 76% SW 12 mph
6:00 PM
SAT
Rain 65° 65° 95% 74% W 14 mph

Sammy is 20-13 overall during the CCH tenure (2015 - 2017 YTD) - That's a .606 winning record. Nice...


BUT....Samford vs. Mother Nature...


PRECIPITATION
In games played in rainy conditions, the Bulldog's record is .000

WIND SPEED
In games where the wind speed is < 10 mph, the Bulldogs are 17-6, or .739
BUT...In games where the wind speed is > or = 10 mph, Samford's record is 3-7 or .300

TEMP
In games where the temp is 75 degrees or greater, Samford is 13-6 / .684
BUT...In games below that 75 degree mark, Samford is 7-7 / .500
(ALSO, FYI...In games where the temp is below 50 degrees, Sammy is 0-3 or .000)

OVERALL CONDITIONS
In games where the temp is [below 75 degrees AND the wind speed is > or = 10 mph] OR [it's raining] (all of which, as you can see above, are predicted for Saturday)...

...Samford is 0-6 or .000



*NOTE: FUBeAR doesn't actually cause the weather; just reports it.

I think this is slightly overfitting. The fact that they are .500 in games that are 75 degrees or below makes me think that it doesn't have much to do with the weather, but the time of year having to do with them playing better teams (October, November). Also, the fact that there's a sample of 10 games on the wind doesn't say much. If they were 0-10, I'd think it's significant, but 3-7 isn't too convincing to me either.

The rain bit is important. what's their record in (just) the rain? If they are 0-5 in the rain (or so) then I think that's significant. But if they are 0-2, that's not a very compelling sample.