Southland Pick'em Week 7

**BEAR** · October 9th, 2017, 10:26 AM

This weeks games and Massey chances of winning:

UCA 96% SFA 4%
SLU 87% HBU 13%
SHSU 97% NWST 3%
Nicholls 81% ACU 19%
Lamar 58% UIW 42%

Remaining schedules Massey Ratings chances of winning: AGS, remember that...

0-1 loss teams
UCA 3-0: SFA 96%, NWST 97%, McNeese 81%, Lamar 98%, IUW 99%, ACU 97%
McNeese 3-1: IUW 96%, UCA 19%, SLU 65%, NWST 90%, Lamar 90%
Nicholls 3-1: ACU 81%, IUW 93%, HBU 95%, SFA 76%, SLU 56%
SLU 3-1: HBU 87%, ACU 67%, SHSU 23%, McNeese 35%, Nicholls 44%
SHSU 2-1: NWST 97%, Lamar 98%, SLU 77%, IUW 99%, ACU 90%, HBU 99%

2 loss teams:
SFA 2-2: UCA 4%, HBU 78%, Lamar 67%, Nicholls 24%, NWST 60%
ACU 2-2: Nicholls 19%, SLU 33%, NWST 60%, SHSU 10%, UCA 3%
NWST 1-2: SHSU 3%, UCA 3%, HBU 60%, ACU 40%, McNeese 10%, SFA 40%

3 conference Loss teams: Least likely to make playoffs. UIW is out.
HBU 1-4
Lamar 1-4
UIW 0-5

Likely in:
UCA: Most likely 9-2 or 10-1.
SHSU: Most likely 9-2 or 10-1.

Probable to be 3rd SLC team in...
McNeese: Most likely 9-2 or 8-3
Nicholls: Most likely 9-2 but could go 8-3.

Possible to be 3rd team in:
SLU: Best record possible 8-3 but has SHSU, McNeese and Nicholls. Tough road.

Teams with 4 losses already giving them a possible 7-4 season if they win out which most likely will not put them in the playoffs:
ACU- Plays a tough Nicholls team. One of them will likely know their fate this weekend. Nicholls favored by 81%.
SFA- Plays at UCA this weekend. Might be the nail in the coffin or a big upset.
NWST- Plays SHSU and only has a 3% chance to win. Fate should be sealed this weekend.
HBU- HBU plays SLU this weekend. If SLU QB is healthy then HBU will know its fate this weekend. SLU favored to win by 87%. Good HBU D, no offense.
Lamar- Plays dead last and winless UIW. Picked to win by 58%. Stay alive ONE more week then SHSU, SFA, UCA, HBU and McNeese. Not likely to survive.

Teams out:
UIW 0-5

Thoughts?

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