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  1. #1
    AGS World Heavyweight Champion
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    Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    So I took a look back at all of the Top 25 pre-season polls and compared them to the final poll each year to find out what teams are the most overrated by AGS voters and the most underrated by AGS voters year after year in a comparison of where they begin and end in the polls. Here ya go...

    Overrated (in order by most overrated teams first):
    1) Northern Iowa
    2) Delaware
    3) McNeese State
    4) James Madison
    5) Furman
    6) Montana
    7) Massachusetts
    8) Cal Poly
    9) Elon
    10) Montana State

    #11 is a tie between Northwestern State and Southeast Missouri State if you want to ignore UMass now.


    Underrated (in order by most underrated teams first):
    1) Harvard
    2) Sam Houston State
    3) Coastal Carolina
    4) South Carolina State
    5) Texas State
    6) Old Dominion
    7) Penn
    8) Jacksonville State
    9) Illinois State
    10) Bethune-Cookman

    If you want to ignore Texas State & Old Dominion, they would be replaced by #11 Eastern Kentucky and a 3-way tie at #12 with South Dakota State, Fordham, and Eastern Washington.


    Discuss...
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  2. #2
    AGS FCS Champion
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    Quote Originally Posted by superman7515 View Post
    So I took a look back at all of the Top 25 pre-season polls and compared them to the final poll each year to find out what teams are the most overrated by AGS voters and the most underrated by AGS voters year after year in a comparison of where they begin and end in the polls. Here ya go...

    Overrated (in order by most overrated teams first):
    1) Northern Iowa
    2) Delaware
    3) McNeese State
    4) James Madison
    5) Furman (sucks)
    6) Montana
    7) Massachusetts
    8) Cal Poly
    9) Elon
    10) Montana State

    #11 is a tie between Northwestern State and Southeast Missouri State if you want to ignore UMass now.


    Underrated (in order by most underrated teams first):
    1) Harvard
    2) Sam Houston State
    3) Coastal Carolina
    4) South Carolina State
    5) Texas State
    6) Old Dominion
    7) Penn
    8) Jacksonville State
    9) Illinois State
    10) Bethune-Cookman

    If you want to ignore Texas State & Old Dominion, they would be replaced by #11 Eastern Kentucky and a 3-way tie at #12 with South Dakota State, Fordham, and Eastern Washington.


    Discuss...
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  3. #3
    Major FCS Ruler bkrownd's Avatar
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    You gotta be worth noticing to get "overrated"...just say'n...
    I work for Harvard...so you know I'm well-endowed.

  4. #4
    AGS FCS Master PAllen's Avatar
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    Preseason polls are worthless. Heck, anything before week 5 is just a wild guess.

  5. #5
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    I don't think the overrated teams are a big surprise. With the exception of Elon you have historically strong programs that are going to be given more credit pre-season than teams that lack the history.

    Harvard leading the underrated is not a surprise either. They start out low because everyone knows that don't play a very difficult schedule and find it difficult to compare them to the rest of FCS and as they go through their schedule with minimal losses they rise in the polls
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  6. #6
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    Quote Originally Posted by bkrownd View Post
    You gotta be worth noticing to get "overrated"...just say'n...
    That's kind of my point. We, collectively, continue to overvalue the same teams season after season at the beginning of the year, while ignoring teams that prove more often than not we aren't giving them the consideration they deserve. Basically allowing UNI, Delaware, and McNeese (they were the most overrated by a wide margin) to get by on name recognition while continuing to look down on schools like Coastal Carolina, SC State, and Jacksonville State because they aren't from one of the perceived "power" conferences. So these overrated teams we think are worth noticing, more often than not, aren't worth as much as we assume.

    Quote Originally Posted by PAllen View Post
    Preseason polls are worthless. Heck, anything before week 5 is just a wild guess.
    That's true, but if you want preseason polls to be better, you have to recognize trends and work to remove biases. Just ignoring it and chalking it up to "that's how they all are" sounds like the arguments on the Poli board. Haha
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  7. #7
    AGS FCS Champion Cocky's Avatar
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    If we could win more playoff games our value would increase.
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  8. #8
    FCS Champion Mattymc727's Avatar
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    Its easy to under-rate Harvard because they always finish un-defeated or close to it, yet their SOS is weaker. Its rare to consider an Ivy league school in the top 25 to start the year because of their SOS record, yet at the end of the year you almost have to stick a 10-1, 9-1, 8-2 Harvard in the top 25.

    The over-rated schools are more interesting. Its either a school that consistently makes the playoffs but bounces out early (Surprised UNH wasnt in there), or a school like Delaware that makes/wins the title game or goes 4-7.
    "We're New Hampshire born and we're New Hampshire bred and when we die we'll be New Hampshire dead, so it's ra ra New Hampshire Hampshire, ra ra New Hampshire Hampshire, pride of the granite state !"

  9. #9
    FCS Champion McNeese72's Avatar
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    I keep telling you guys, that McNeese is always overated but you don't listen. Then I get accused of sandbagging.

  10. #10
    FCS EGG-HOLE
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    Re: Most Overrated/Underrated Teams Of The AGS Era

    Quote Originally Posted by McNeese72 View Post
    I keep telling you guys, that McNeese is always overated but you don't listen. Then I get accused of sandbagging.
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