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October 31st, 2011, 06:09 AM
Here are a few clarifications for the playoff field of 20: The Ivy League does not participate in the playoffs- The SWAC will send its division champions to the SWAC title game. Assume a team must also reach 7 D1 wins to be eligible.for an at large. ALSO there are teams with still a chance of winning their Autobid but I have not listed due to upcoming schedule, will add as necessary.
FCS teams that can still entertain realistic playoff hopes. Schools are ranked by their chances of making the playoffs.. Current overall and conference records are in parentheses, and each team’s remaining schedule is listed with a brief synopsis of its chances. The adds of AQ means they got the Autobid or IN means I believe they have already made the field,regardless of how they finish. The rank below is based on being in the playoffs and their chances of making the playoffs not where I believe they will be seated.
1. North Dakota State (8-0, 5-0 MVC)
The Games: at Indiana State, Young State, at W. Illinois
Outlook: IN The Bison are in and in control of the top seed!
2. Sam Houston State (8-0, 5-0 Southland)
The Games: at SELouis, N’wstern State, at Texas State
Outlook: Have the easiest schedule remaining – an undefeated season and a top seed is possible
3. Montana State (8-1, 5-1 Big Sky)
The Games: at Weber State, Montana
Outlook: Only Montana is a road block to a top seed for the Bobcats
4. Lehigh (7-1, 2-0 Patriot)
The Games: Holy Cross, Georgetown, Lafayette
Outlook: On a roll and should get the autobid –doubtful on a seed
5. Liberty (6-3, 4-0 Big South)
The Games: VMI, at Stony Brook
Outlook: In the drivers seat for the AB, a loss to SB could change everything
6. Montana (7-2, 6-1 Big Sky)
The Games: Western Oregon, at Montana State
Outlook: The Grizzles are now looking at the showdown with Montana State a win gives them the AB.
7. Albany (6-2, 5-0 NEC)
The Games: Bryant, at Monmouth, Sacred Heart
Outlook: Needs just two wins to clinch the AB.
8. Northern Iowa (6-2, 5-1 MVC)
The Games: at Young State, S. Utah, at Ill State
Outlook: No longer in control of the autobid and now a tough schedule remains, needs two more wins to erase any doubt
9. Maine (7-1, 5-0 CAA)
The Games: Towson, UMass, at N. Hampshire
Outlook: The CAA is turned upside, but the bears are in full control for the moment
10. Wofford (6-2, 4-1 Southern)
The Games: at WCU, GSU, at UTC
Outlook: Terriers need two more wins – 3 gives them the autobid and a top seed
11. Ga Southern (7-1, 5-1 Southern)
The Games: Citadel, at Wofford, at Alabama
Outlook: GSU lost some control but wins in their next two will keep them alive for a top seed
12. Appalachian State (6-2, 4-1 Southern)
The Games: at Furman, WCU, at Elon
Outlook: Stunning win vs GSU but will they trip up at Furman?
13. Old Dominion (7-2, 4-2 CAA)
The Games: JMU, Richmond, at W&M
Outlook: Needs just two more wins – could lose all 3?
14. Norfolk State (7-2. 5-1 MEAC)
The Games: at Savannah State, at Morgan State
Outlook: Needs to keep winning to secure Autobid , a loss would put them in a logjam
15. New Hampshire (6-2, 3-1 CAA)
The Games: JMU, at Towson, Maine
Outlook: Tough road ahead as the games keep coming to early to call
16. Towson (6-2, 4-1 CAA)
The Games: at Maine, N. Hampshire, at R. Island
Outlook: Here again need to play these games as week to week things are changing in the CAA
17. Illinois State (6-3, 4-2 MVC)
The Games: W. Illinois, N. Iowa
Outlook: Needs at least one more win – two wins secures a post season berth
18. Tennessee Tech (5-2, 4-1 OVC)
The Games: Murray State, at EKU, Austin Peay
Outlook: Must win out, but what a tough schedule the game at EKU looms large
19. Jacksonville State (5-3, 4-1 OVC)
The Games: EKU, at SEMOSt, at Tenn State
Outlook: What happened - things are not looking so good and a surging EKU team is next – another loss would likely end Jax State’s post season’s aspirations.
20. Indiana State (5-3, 3-2 MVC)
The Games: NDSU, at MO State, S. Illinois
Outlook: Very much in the hunt and a strong schedule with 4 losses they will be hard to leave out!
21. Furman (5-3, 4-2 Southern)
The Games: ASU, Elon, at Florida
Outlook: Don’t look now but the Paladins are back in a big way – knock off App and they are very much in the mix
22. Cal Poly (5-3, 3-0 Great West)
The Games: at UC Davis, E. Washington, at S. Alabama
Outlook: Now they must win the next to stay in the discussion.
23. Eastern Kentucky (5-3, 4-1 OVC)
The Games: at Jacksonville St., Tenn Tech, UT Martin
Outlook: Must win out, the Autobid is still within reach…
24. James Madison (5-3, 3-2 CAA)
The Games: at N. Hampshire, R. Island, at UMASS
Outlook: JMU is in real trouble injuries have them on the ropes and two more losses is very possible.
25. Morgan State (5-3, 4-1 MEAC)
The Games: at Bethune, Norfolk State, Hampton
Outlook: Showdown coming in two weeks must keep winning
26. Samford (5-3, 3-3 Southern)
The Games: UTC, at Citadel, at Auburn
Outlook: To assume the bulldogs will win the next two I think they stay in the discussion with 7 wins with the head to head win over Furman.
27. Central Arkansas (5-3, 4-1 Southland)
The Games: SE Lous, at N’wstern State, Texas State
Outlook: Still alive but must keep winning
28. Northwestern State (5-3, 3-1 Southland)
The Games: C. Arkansas, at Sam Houston, SFA
Outlook: If they win their last 3 they grab the autobid, lose any three of those and they are done
29. Stony Brook (5-3, 3-0 Big South)
The Games: at Char Southern, at Gardner Webb, Liberty
Outlook: Win out and they are in!
30. Youngstown State (5-3, 3-2 MVC)
The Games: at N. Iowa, at NDSU, MO State
Outlook: Still alive but I don’t see them making it
31. Georgetown (7-2, 3-1 Patriot)
The Games: Fordham, at Lehigh
Outlook: If they win the next two they will earn the Autobid
32. Holy Cross (4-4, 2-1 Patriot)
The Games: at Lehigh, Lafayette, at Fordham
Outlook: Must win out and need Georgetown to lose once more and they win the AB
33. SC State/Bethune/Fla A&M/Hampton (MEAC)
Outlook: All of these teams are still alive for the moment…
Below are my current projections for the I-AA playoff field.
Automatic Bids:
Patriot: Lehigh CAA: Maine
Big Sky: Montana State Southland: Sam Houston State
Southern: Wofford MVC: NDSU
MEAC: Norfolk State OVC: Tennessee Tech
Big South: Liberty NEC: Albany
At-large:
GSU, ASU, Furman, N. Hamp, Montana, Cal Poly, Ill St, Towson, ODU, N. Iowa
Seeds: Wofford, Montana State, Maine, Sam Houston State, NDSU
Last In: Furman, N. Hampshire, Cal Poly
Last Out: EKU, Indiana State, C Arkansas, Samford
Bracket I:
Norfolk State @ Liberty winner at No. 1 NDSU
N. Iowa @ Montana
Furman @ Tenn Tech winner at No. 4 Wofford
Lehigh @ No. 5 Sam Houston State
Bracket II:
Albany @ N. Hampshire winner at No. 3 Maine
ODU @ ASU
Cal Poly @ Ill State winner at No. 2 Montana State
Towson @ GSU
FCS teams that can still entertain realistic playoff hopes. Schools are ranked by their chances of making the playoffs.. Current overall and conference records are in parentheses, and each team’s remaining schedule is listed with a brief synopsis of its chances. The adds of AQ means they got the Autobid or IN means I believe they have already made the field,regardless of how they finish. The rank below is based on being in the playoffs and their chances of making the playoffs not where I believe they will be seated.
1. North Dakota State (8-0, 5-0 MVC)
The Games: at Indiana State, Young State, at W. Illinois
Outlook: IN The Bison are in and in control of the top seed!
2. Sam Houston State (8-0, 5-0 Southland)
The Games: at SELouis, N’wstern State, at Texas State
Outlook: Have the easiest schedule remaining – an undefeated season and a top seed is possible
3. Montana State (8-1, 5-1 Big Sky)
The Games: at Weber State, Montana
Outlook: Only Montana is a road block to a top seed for the Bobcats
4. Lehigh (7-1, 2-0 Patriot)
The Games: Holy Cross, Georgetown, Lafayette
Outlook: On a roll and should get the autobid –doubtful on a seed
5. Liberty (6-3, 4-0 Big South)
The Games: VMI, at Stony Brook
Outlook: In the drivers seat for the AB, a loss to SB could change everything
6. Montana (7-2, 6-1 Big Sky)
The Games: Western Oregon, at Montana State
Outlook: The Grizzles are now looking at the showdown with Montana State a win gives them the AB.
7. Albany (6-2, 5-0 NEC)
The Games: Bryant, at Monmouth, Sacred Heart
Outlook: Needs just two wins to clinch the AB.
8. Northern Iowa (6-2, 5-1 MVC)
The Games: at Young State, S. Utah, at Ill State
Outlook: No longer in control of the autobid and now a tough schedule remains, needs two more wins to erase any doubt
9. Maine (7-1, 5-0 CAA)
The Games: Towson, UMass, at N. Hampshire
Outlook: The CAA is turned upside, but the bears are in full control for the moment
10. Wofford (6-2, 4-1 Southern)
The Games: at WCU, GSU, at UTC
Outlook: Terriers need two more wins – 3 gives them the autobid and a top seed
11. Ga Southern (7-1, 5-1 Southern)
The Games: Citadel, at Wofford, at Alabama
Outlook: GSU lost some control but wins in their next two will keep them alive for a top seed
12. Appalachian State (6-2, 4-1 Southern)
The Games: at Furman, WCU, at Elon
Outlook: Stunning win vs GSU but will they trip up at Furman?
13. Old Dominion (7-2, 4-2 CAA)
The Games: JMU, Richmond, at W&M
Outlook: Needs just two more wins – could lose all 3?
14. Norfolk State (7-2. 5-1 MEAC)
The Games: at Savannah State, at Morgan State
Outlook: Needs to keep winning to secure Autobid , a loss would put them in a logjam
15. New Hampshire (6-2, 3-1 CAA)
The Games: JMU, at Towson, Maine
Outlook: Tough road ahead as the games keep coming to early to call
16. Towson (6-2, 4-1 CAA)
The Games: at Maine, N. Hampshire, at R. Island
Outlook: Here again need to play these games as week to week things are changing in the CAA
17. Illinois State (6-3, 4-2 MVC)
The Games: W. Illinois, N. Iowa
Outlook: Needs at least one more win – two wins secures a post season berth
18. Tennessee Tech (5-2, 4-1 OVC)
The Games: Murray State, at EKU, Austin Peay
Outlook: Must win out, but what a tough schedule the game at EKU looms large
19. Jacksonville State (5-3, 4-1 OVC)
The Games: EKU, at SEMOSt, at Tenn State
Outlook: What happened - things are not looking so good and a surging EKU team is next – another loss would likely end Jax State’s post season’s aspirations.
20. Indiana State (5-3, 3-2 MVC)
The Games: NDSU, at MO State, S. Illinois
Outlook: Very much in the hunt and a strong schedule with 4 losses they will be hard to leave out!
21. Furman (5-3, 4-2 Southern)
The Games: ASU, Elon, at Florida
Outlook: Don’t look now but the Paladins are back in a big way – knock off App and they are very much in the mix
22. Cal Poly (5-3, 3-0 Great West)
The Games: at UC Davis, E. Washington, at S. Alabama
Outlook: Now they must win the next to stay in the discussion.
23. Eastern Kentucky (5-3, 4-1 OVC)
The Games: at Jacksonville St., Tenn Tech, UT Martin
Outlook: Must win out, the Autobid is still within reach…
24. James Madison (5-3, 3-2 CAA)
The Games: at N. Hampshire, R. Island, at UMASS
Outlook: JMU is in real trouble injuries have them on the ropes and two more losses is very possible.
25. Morgan State (5-3, 4-1 MEAC)
The Games: at Bethune, Norfolk State, Hampton
Outlook: Showdown coming in two weeks must keep winning
26. Samford (5-3, 3-3 Southern)
The Games: UTC, at Citadel, at Auburn
Outlook: To assume the bulldogs will win the next two I think they stay in the discussion with 7 wins with the head to head win over Furman.
27. Central Arkansas (5-3, 4-1 Southland)
The Games: SE Lous, at N’wstern State, Texas State
Outlook: Still alive but must keep winning
28. Northwestern State (5-3, 3-1 Southland)
The Games: C. Arkansas, at Sam Houston, SFA
Outlook: If they win their last 3 they grab the autobid, lose any three of those and they are done
29. Stony Brook (5-3, 3-0 Big South)
The Games: at Char Southern, at Gardner Webb, Liberty
Outlook: Win out and they are in!
30. Youngstown State (5-3, 3-2 MVC)
The Games: at N. Iowa, at NDSU, MO State
Outlook: Still alive but I don’t see them making it
31. Georgetown (7-2, 3-1 Patriot)
The Games: Fordham, at Lehigh
Outlook: If they win the next two they will earn the Autobid
32. Holy Cross (4-4, 2-1 Patriot)
The Games: at Lehigh, Lafayette, at Fordham
Outlook: Must win out and need Georgetown to lose once more and they win the AB
33. SC State/Bethune/Fla A&M/Hampton (MEAC)
Outlook: All of these teams are still alive for the moment…
Below are my current projections for the I-AA playoff field.
Automatic Bids:
Patriot: Lehigh CAA: Maine
Big Sky: Montana State Southland: Sam Houston State
Southern: Wofford MVC: NDSU
MEAC: Norfolk State OVC: Tennessee Tech
Big South: Liberty NEC: Albany
At-large:
GSU, ASU, Furman, N. Hamp, Montana, Cal Poly, Ill St, Towson, ODU, N. Iowa
Seeds: Wofford, Montana State, Maine, Sam Houston State, NDSU
Last In: Furman, N. Hampshire, Cal Poly
Last Out: EKU, Indiana State, C Arkansas, Samford
Bracket I:
Norfolk State @ Liberty winner at No. 1 NDSU
N. Iowa @ Montana
Furman @ Tenn Tech winner at No. 4 Wofford
Lehigh @ No. 5 Sam Houston State
Bracket II:
Albany @ N. Hampshire winner at No. 3 Maine
ODU @ ASU
Cal Poly @ Ill State winner at No. 2 Montana State
Towson @ GSU