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Nova09
September 28th, 2012, 11:07 AM
I started talking about Massey Ratings in the Sagarin thread, but he really deserves his own thread. Also this thread isn't about the ranking but the predictions his system comes up with for this weeks games (based on his ranking, obviously).

http://masseyratings.com/pred.php?s=181623&sub=11605&dt=20120928

I particularly like to look at the percent chance he gives each team to win the game. Like all computer systems, these will become more accurate as the season goes on and there is more data. Some games that stood out to me for any reason from big game to high/low spread:

NDST 64% over UNI
SIU 54% over Ind St
Army 83% over SB (a lot of ppl, including me, giving SB a fighting chance)
Albany 84% over Monmouth (winning big could ultimately affect Albany seeding)
Delaware 67% over UNH
EWU 69% over Montana
UND 53% over Cal Poly

and the big one

SUU 59% over Mont St

UNDColorado
September 28th, 2012, 11:57 AM
This is going to be an interesting weekend in the Big Sky. I can't wait for tomorrow!

darell1976
September 28th, 2012, 12:00 PM
This is going to be an interesting weekend in the Big Sky. I can't wait for tomorrow!

I think we are up 53% is due to home field or else it could be at an even 50.

UNDColorado
September 28th, 2012, 12:02 PM
I think we are up 53% is due to home field or else it could be at an even 50.

My thoughts exactly Darrel, this game could go either way. Regardless of the outcome it should be one he!! of a game to watch!

darell1976
September 28th, 2012, 12:13 PM
My thoughts exactly Darrel, this game could go either way. Regardless of the outcome it should be one he!! of a game to watch!

I predict 10,000 at the game. Its going to be loud, and that defense better bring their A game or Cal Poly will turn this into a shootout.

tingly
September 28th, 2012, 05:35 PM
Massey has neutral field at 55% (http://masseyratings.com/game.php?s0=181623&t0=1032&h=0&s1=181623&t1=5538) for Cal Poly. Poly is a little overrated with computers from catching Wyoming's QB on the bench, but the betting line at 5dimes is pick'em.

Hammerhead
September 28th, 2012, 10:23 PM
I'm going to root for UND during the regular season and hope we can meet in the playoffs since that's the only way the Bison-Whioux gridiron rivalry will be renewed.

CopperCat
September 29th, 2012, 01:40 AM
Predicting a 3 point spread favoring the tbirds when SUU has no defense and MSU does?

Well, wish in one hand and crap in the other........

coover
September 29th, 2012, 02:07 AM
I predict 10,000 at the game. Its going to be loud, and that defense better bring their A game or Cal Poly will turn this into a shootout.And 10000 in the Alerus Center sounds like 30 or 40 thousand elsewhere! It's going to be loud.

Bam
September 29th, 2012, 07:55 PM
Wrong on Eku.

CopperCat
September 29th, 2012, 08:54 PM
Wrong on MSU as well, to the tune of ten points.